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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Rickard Rakell

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; Rakell has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Rakell's 2.1.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.12, Penalty minutes 44, Draw Equity /100 +0.000.

Rakell's biggest edges: Hardest shot 88.0, On-ice PDO 1018, Hits 71.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Rickard Rakell

2.10

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidRakell
Goals (+2)1.150.75
Assists (+1)1.320.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.16
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.27
Hits (+0.1)0.050.13
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.34

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Rakell

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidRakell
12Team record in 19 meetings7
40Points in those games18

McDavid 12G 28A, 76 SOG · Rakell 11G 7A, 59 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 1–0 · McDavid's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

10:36 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
17–5
77.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.1
85.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Rickard Rakell
DateScoreMcDavidRakell
2026-01-22EDM 2–6 PIT0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2025-12-16EDM 6–4 PIT2G 2A 6S0G 1A 4S
2025-01-09EDM 3–5 PIT0G 3A 3S1G 0A 1S
2024-10-25EDM 4–0 PIT0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-10EDM 4–0 PIT1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-03EDM 6–1 PIT1G 1A 5S0G 1A 2S
2023-02-23EDM 7–2 PIT2G 2A 7S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-24EDM 6–3 PIT0G 0A 2S1G 1A 2S
2022-04-26EDM 5–1 PIT1G 3A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-02-17EDM 7–3 ANA0G 2A 7S0G 1A 4S
2021-10-19EDM 6–5 ANA1G 2A 2S0G 0A 2S
2020-02-25EDM 3–4 ANA0G 3A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidRakell

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts

Rickard Rakell

2games (1 left)

2.1proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL2.1 pts

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Rickard Rakell in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Rickard Rakell's 2.10. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Rakell had 48 in 60 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Rickard Rakell?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Rakell done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 12–7. McDavid had 40 points (12 goals) and Rakell had 18 (11 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Rakell?
Against each other, McDavid has won 1 and Rakell 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →