Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Robert Thomas
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Thomas has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Thomas's 1.9.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 2.12, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Shots on goal 306.
Thomas's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1045, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Goals above expected +5.4.
Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Thomas 30–24.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Robert Thomas
1.89
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Thomas |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.73 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.01 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Thomas
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 9G 19A, 62 SOG · Thomas 9G 15A, 38 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 12–6 · neutral 10–11 · McDavid's defensive zone 8–7 (2018-19 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 1 of Thomas's shots; Thomas blocked 1 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
21:47 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 19–20
- 48.7%
- Expected goals
- 1.5–1.0
- 60.4%
- Goals
- 1–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Thomas |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | EDM 2–3 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-03 | EDM 2–3 STL | 0G 2A 0S | 1G 1A 4S |
| 2025-04-09 | EDM 4–3 STL | 0G 3A 0S | 0G 2A 2S |
| 2025-02-04 | EDM 3–2 STL | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-12-07 | EDM 4–2 STL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-01 | EDM 2–3 STL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-02-28 | EDM 3–2 STL | 1G 2A 4S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2024-02-15 | EDM 3–6 STL | 0G 3A 2S | 1G 2A 4S |
| 2022-12-15 | EDM 3–4 STL | 1G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 5S |
| 2022-10-26 | EDM 3–1 STL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-10-22 | EDM 0–2 STL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-04-01 | EDM 6–5 STL | 2G 0A 11S | 1G 1A 1S |
Latest 12 of 20 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Robert Thomas
2games (1 left)
1.9proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ DALOpp allows 3rd-most FP to CLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B1.9 ptsOpp allows 13th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Robert Thomas in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Robert Thomas's 1.89. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Thomas had 64 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Robert Thomas?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Thomas done against each other?
- In 20 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–11. McDavid had 28 points (9 goals) and Thomas had 24 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Thomas?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 30 and Thomas 24 of their 54 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →