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Who to start · 2025-26

Connor McDavid vs Timo Meier

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74.

McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games.

This week McDavid has 1 game left; Meier has 1 left. We project McDavid for 3.2 ESPN points to Meier's 1.8.

Connor McDavid has the better number in 31 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

McDavid's biggest edges: Plus/minus +17, Goals above expected +0.6, Luck Meter +14.

Meier's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.3, Hits 131, Blocked shots 53.

Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Meier 5–5.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Connor McDavid

3.45

fantasy points per game

Timo Meier

1.74

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMcDavidMeier
Goals (+2)1.150.58
Assists (+1)1.320.24
Power-play points (+0.5)0.350.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.35
Hits (+0.1)0.050.17
Blocks (+0.5)0.220.32

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: McDavid vs Meier

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

McDavidMeier
10Team record in 22 meetings12
32Points in those games15

McDavid 12G 20A, 61 SOG · Meier 5G 10A, 70 SOG

5Faceoffs against each other5

McDavid's offensive zone 1–2 · neutral 0–1 · McDavid's defensive zone 4–2 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Hits on each other2
2Shots blocked by the other0

McDavid blocked 2 of Meier's shots; Meier blocked 0 of McDavid's.

On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)

17:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side

Shot attempts
16–11
59.3%
Expected goals
0.9–0.4
68.9%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Connor McDavid and Timo Meier
DateScoreMcDavidMeier
2026-01-20EDM 1–2 NJD0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2025-10-18EDM 3–5 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 0A 0S
2025-03-13EDM 2–3 NJD0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2023-12-21EDM 6–3 NJD1G 1A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-12-10EDM 4–1 NJD1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-01-13EDM 7–1 SJS2G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-28EDM 5–4 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 6S
2022-04-05EDM 2–1 SJS1G 0A 4S0G 1A 9S
2022-03-24EDM 5–2 SJS0G 2A 1S0G 2A 4S
2022-02-14EDM 3–0 SJS1G 0A 7S0G 0A 6S
2020-02-06EDM 3–6 SJS1G 0A 5S2G 1A 8S
2019-11-19EDM 5–2 SJS1G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 22 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

McDavidMeier

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Connor McDavid

3games (1 left)

3.2proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA3.2 pts

Timo Meier

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.8 pts

FAQ

Should I start Connor McDavid or Timo Meier in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Timo Meier's 1.74. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Meier had 44 in 77 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Connor McDavid or Timo Meier?
On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 31 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have McDavid and Meier done against each other?
In 22 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 10–12. McDavid had 32 points (12 goals) and Meier had 15 (5 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Meier?
Against each other, McDavid has won 5 and Meier 5 of their 10 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →