Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Trevor Zegras
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zegras has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Ascension score 62, Net penalties drawn /60 +1.05, Top skating speed 24.6.
Zegras's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1016, Goals above expected +2.5, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.036.
Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Zegras 8–4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Trevor Zegras
1.53
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Zegras |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.57 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.45 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.15 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Zegras
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 9G 15A, 60 SOG · Zegras 1G 4A, 23 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 6–4 · McDavid's defensive zone 1–0 (2021-22 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
12:39 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–9
- 64.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.9–0.1
- 86.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Zegras |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-03 | EDM 2–5 PHI | 1G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2025-11-12 | EDM 2–1 PHI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-04 | EDM 2–6 ANA | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-03-30 | EDM 6–1 ANA | 2G 1A 7S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-12-31 | EDM 7–2 ANA | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2023-04-05 | EDM 3–1 ANA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-01 | EDM 6–0 ANA | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2023-01-11 | EDM 6–2 ANA | 1G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2022-12-17 | EDM 3–4 ANA | 1G 1A 8S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2022-04-03 | EDM 6–1 ANA | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2022-02-17 | EDM 7–3 ANA | 0G 2A 7S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2021-10-19 | EDM 6–5 ANA | 1G 2A 2S | 0G 1A 4S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Trevor Zegras
3games (1 left)
1.2proj. ESPN pts
- Wed, Sep 30 vs PITOpp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2BOpp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 ptsOpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Trevor Zegras?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Zegras done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 9–3. McDavid had 24 points (9 goals) and Zegras had 5 (1 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Zegras?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 8 and Zegras 4 of their 12 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →