Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Viktor Arvidsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Arvidsson has 1 left. We project McDavid for 2.3 ESPN points to Arvidsson's 2.0.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.36, High-danger chances 57.5%, Offensive-zone start % 65.6%.
Arvidsson's biggest edges: Hardest shot 94.6, On-ice PDO 1065, Luck Meter +77.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Viktor Arvidsson
1.72
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.39 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.06 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Arvidsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 14G 35A, 107 SOG · Arvidsson 8G 19A, 97 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 2–2 · McDavid's defensive zone 2–1 (2022-23 to 2023-24)
McDavid blocked 2 of Arvidsson's shots; Arvidsson blocked 1 of McDavid's.
Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
3:54 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.5–0.1
- 87.2%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Arvidsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-31 | EDM 2–6 BOS | 0G 1A 9S | 0G 2A 0S |
| 2024-05-01 · PO | EDM 4–3 LAK | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-04-28 · PO | EDM 1–0 LAK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 4S |
| 2024-04-26 · PO | EDM 6–1 LAK | 1G 2A 5S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-24 · PO | EDM 4–5 LAK | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2024-04-22 · PO | EDM 7–4 LAK | 0G 5A 3S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2024-03-28 | EDM 4–1 LAK | 1G 2A 1S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-04-29 · PO | EDM 5–4 LAK | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 6S |
| 2023-04-25 · PO | EDM 6–3 LAK | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-04-23 · PO | EDM 5–4 LAK | 0G 3A 2S | 1G 1A 3S |
| 2023-04-21 · PO | EDM 2–3 LAK | 2G 0A 7S | 0G 1A 5S |
| 2023-04-19 · PO | EDM 4–2 LAK | 0G 1A 6S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 29 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Viktor Arvidsson
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs NYROpp allows 7th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Dylan Garand (.948)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs WPG2.0 ptsOpp allows 14th-most FP to LWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Viktor Arvidsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Viktor Arvidsson's 1.72. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Arvidsson had 54 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Viktor Arvidsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Arvidsson done against each other?
- In 29 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 18–11. McDavid had 49 points (14 goals) and Arvidsson had 27 (8 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Arvidsson?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 4 and Arvidsson 3 of their 7 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →