Who to start · 2025-26
Connor McDavid vs Wyatt Johnston
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Wyatt Johnston's 2.41.
McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games.
This week McDavid has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Johnston has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Johnston for 2.5 ESPN points to McDavid's 2.3.
Connor McDavid has the better number in 29 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
McDavid's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.6, Corsi 54.2%, Fenwick 54.3%.
Johnston's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.003, On-ice PDO 1026, Blocked shots 55.
Head to head on the dot, McDavid leads Johnston 26–25.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 6 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Connor McDavid
3.45
fantasy points per game
Wyatt Johnston
2.41
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Connor McDavid has the edge.
| Points per game from | McDavid | Johnston |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 1.15 | 1.03 |
| Assists (+1) | 1.32 | 0.47 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: McDavid vs Johnston
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
McDavid 10G 20A, 76 SOG · Johnston 9G 14A, 50 SOG
McDavid's offensive zone 7–8 · neutral 15–13 · McDavid's defensive zone 4–4 (2022-23 to 2025-26)
McDavid blocked 1 of Johnston's shots; Johnston blocked 1 of McDavid's.
On the ice against each other (McDavid's side)
18:54 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from McDavid's side
- Shot attempts
- 18–24
- 42.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.8–2.6
- 22.2%
- Goals
- 1–4
Games against each other
| Date | Score | McDavid | Johnston |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | EDM 2–7 DAL | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 2A 2S |
| 2025-11-25 | EDM 3–8 DAL | 0G 1A 1S | 1G 3A 3S |
| 2025-11-04 | EDM 3–4 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 3A 3S |
| 2025-05-29 · PO | EDM 6–3 DAL | 1G 1A 3S | 0G 2A 1S |
| 2025-05-27 · PO | EDM 4–1 DAL | 0G 2A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-05-25 · PO | EDM 6–1 DAL | 2G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-23 · PO | EDM 3–0 DAL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-05-21 · PO | EDM 3–6 DAL | 0G 2A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-03-08 | EDM 5–4 DAL | 1G 1A 4S | 1G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-19 | EDM 1–4 DAL | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-06-02 · PO | EDM 2–1 DAL | 1G 1A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-05-31 · PO | EDM 3–1 DAL | 0G 1A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 22 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Connor McDavid
3games (1 left)
2.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA2.3 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Wyatt Johnston
2games (1 left)
2.5proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 vs STLOpp allows 3rd-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.5 ptsOpp allows 10th-most FP to CSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Connor McDavid or Wyatt Johnston in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Connor McDavid projects to 3.45 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Wyatt Johnston's 2.41. McDavid had 138 points in 82 games; Johnston had 86 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Connor McDavid or Wyatt Johnston?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Connor McDavid leads in 29 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have McDavid and Johnston done against each other?
- In 22 games against each other in our data, McDavid's team went 12–10. McDavid had 30 points (10 goals) and Johnston had 23 (9 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, McDavid or Johnston?
- Against each other, McDavid has won 26 and Johnston 25 of their 51 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →