Who to start · 2025-26
Darnell Nurse vs Tyler Toffoli
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.
Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.
This week Nurse has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Nurse for 1.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.
Tyler Toffoli has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Nurse's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.2, Penalty minutes 104, 20+ mph bursts 101.
Toffoli's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 45.2%, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, On-ice PDO 1006.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 0 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Darnell Nurse
1.83
fantasy points per game
Tyler Toffoli
1.35
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Darnell Nurse has the edge.
| Points per game from | Nurse | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.16 | 0.45 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.19 | 0.36 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.19 | 0.21 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.17 | 0.06 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 1.11 | 0.18 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Nurse vs Toffoli
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Nurse 4G 6A, 87 SOG · Toffoli 10G 10A, 89 SOG
Nurse blocked 13 of Toffoli's shots; Toffoli blocked 0 of Nurse's.
On the ice against each other (Nurse's side)
14:40 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Nurse's side
- Shot attempts
- 16–11
- 59.3%
- Expected goals
- 0.4–0.5
- 46.3%
- Goals
- 2–0
On the ice together
1:20 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2026-27
- Shot attempts
- 1–0
- 100.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.1–0.0
- 100.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Nurse | Toffoli |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | EDM 5–2 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-03-17 | EDM 5–3 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2026-02-28 | EDM 4–5 SJS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2026-01-29 | EDM 4–3 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-04-11 | EDM 4–2 SJS | 0G 1A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-04-03 | EDM 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 1G 0A 4S |
| 2024-12-21 | EDM 3–2 SJS | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-26 | EDM 4–3 WPG | 0G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-21 | EDM 6–3 NJD | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 5S |
| 2023-12-10 | EDM 4–1 NJD | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2022-12-27 | EDM 2–1 CGY | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2022-10-29 | EDM 3–2 CGY | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
Latest 12 of 39 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Darnell Nurse
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.8 pts
Tyler Toffoli
2games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
- Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Darnell Nurse or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Darnell Nurse projects to 1.83 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Nurse had 24 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Darnell Nurse or Tyler Toffoli?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Tyler Toffoli leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Nurse and Toffoli done against each other?
- In 39 games against each other in our data, Nurse's team went 25–14. Nurse had 10 points (4 goals) and Toffoli had 20 (10 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →