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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Connor for 2.4 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.

They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 17–17.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 72, Hits 86, Transition attempts /60 1.66.

Connor's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.1, Ascension score 57, 20+ mph bursts 162.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakConnor
Goals (+2)0.661.02
Assists (+1)0.930.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.37
Hits (+0.1)0.100.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakConnor
11Team record in 15 meetings4
24Points in those games12

Pastrnak 11G 13A, 69 SOG · Connor 6G 6A, 46 SOG

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other1

Pastrnak blocked 0 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 1 of Pastrnak's.

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

10:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
14–6
70.0%
Expected goals
0.9–0.1
88.7%
Goals
2–0

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Kyle Connor
DateScorePastrnakConnor
2026-10-02BOS 4–3 WPG0G 2A 4S1G 1A 9S
2026-03-19BOS 6–1 WPG1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-11BOS 6–3 WPG2G 2A 7S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-30BOS 2–6 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S
2024-12-10BOS 1–8 WPG1G 0A 5S1G 2A 4S
2024-01-22BOS 4–1 WPG0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-16BOS 3–0 WPG0G 1A 5S0G 0A 6S
2022-12-22BOS 3–2 WPG1G 1A 6S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-18BOS 4–2 WPG0G 0A 7S0G 1A 6S
2022-01-22BOS 3–2 WPG1G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2020-01-31BOS 2–1 WPG0G 2A 5S0G 0A 2S
2020-01-09BOS 5–4 WPG3G 0A 5S1G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kyle Connor's 2.43. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers they split 17–17 across 34 stats where both qualify.
How have Pastrnak and Connor done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 11–4. Pastrnak had 24 points (11 goals) and Connor had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →