Who to start · 2025-26
David Pastrnak vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.
Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
They split the 34 stats both are ranked on 16–16.
Pastrnak's biggest edges: Hits 86, On-ice PDO 1027, Hardest shot 93.1.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Goals above expected +1.4, Faceoffs won 433, Ascension score 59.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
David Pastrnak
2.44
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pastrnak | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.66 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.18 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.10 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pastrnak 3G 4A, 23 SOG · Carlsson 4G 4A, 13 SOG
On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)
10:10 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side
- Shot attempts
- 7–11
- 38.9%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.6
- 31.3%
- Goals
- 0–2
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pastrnak | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-19 | BOS 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2025-10-23 | BOS 5–7 ANA | 1G 1A 5S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-03-26 | BOS 2–6 ANA | 1G 0A 2S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2025-02-22 | BOS 2–3 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 1A 1S |
| 2023-10-26 | BOS 3–4 ANA | 1G 1A 9S | 1G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
David Pastrnak
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start David Pastrnak or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, David Pastrnak or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers they split 16–16 across 34 stats where both qualify.
- How have Pastrnak and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 5 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 0–5. Pastrnak had 7 points (3 goals) and Carlsson had 8 (4 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →