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Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBruins · Right wingvsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pastrnak for 1.8 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

David Pastrnak has the better number in 19 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1027, Hits 86, Penalty minutes 72.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Top skating speed 22.8, High-danger chances 54.8%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.54

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.750.56
Assists (+1)0.920.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.18
Hits (+0.1)0.110.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakNugent-Hopkins
5Team record in 14 meetings9
14Points in those games7

Pastrnak 9G 5A, 58 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 2G 5A, 28 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Pastrnak blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Pastrnak's.

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

6:19 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
2–9
18.2%
Expected goals
0.0–1.0
4.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScorePastrnakNugent-Hopkins
2025-12-31BOS 6–2 EDM2G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-18BOS 1–3 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-07BOS 0–4 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-19BOS 2–3 EDM0G 0A 5S0G 1A 0S
2024-03-05BOS 1–2 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-09BOS 2–3 EDM1G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2023-02-27BOS 3–2 EDM0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2021-12-09BOS 3–2 EDM0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2021-11-11BOS 3–5 EDM1G 1A 8S0G 1A 1S
2020-02-19BOS 2–1 EDM1G 1A 6S0G 1A 5S
2020-01-04BOS 1–4 EDM1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2018-10-18BOS 2–3 EDM1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, David Pastrnak leads in 19 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 5–9. Pastrnak had 14 points (9 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 7 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →