Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

David Pastrnak vs Ryan O'Reilly

David PastrnakDavid PastrnakBruins · Right wingvsRyan O'ReillyRyan O'ReillyPredators · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90.

Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Pastrnak has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Pastrnak's 1.8.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pastrnak's biggest edges: Hits 86, Transition attempts /60 1.66, Hardest shot 93.1.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Goals above expected +1.2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 8 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

David Pastrnak

2.44

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, David Pastrnak has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPastrnakO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.660.58
Assists (+1)0.930.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.180.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.20
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.210.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pastrnak vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PastrnakO'Reilly
11Team record in 20 meetings9
18Points in those games19

Pastrnak 9G 9A, 82 SOG · O'Reilly 10G 9A, 50 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

Pastrnak's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–1 · Pastrnak's defensive zone 0–0 (2017-18 to 2023-24)

0Hits on each other1
0Shots blocked by the other4

Pastrnak blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 4 of Pastrnak's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Pastrnak's side)

9:04 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Pastrnak's side

Shot attempts
6–14
30.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
26.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between David Pastrnak and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScorePastrnakO'Reilly
2026-01-27BOS 3–2 NSH1G 1A 7S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-04BOS 3–6 NSH0G 2A 4S2G 1A 2S
2024-10-22BOS 0–4 NSH0G 0A 6S1G 1A 1S
2024-04-02BOS 3–0 NSH1G 1A 7S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-14BOS 3–2 NSH1G 1A 6S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-06BOS 2–1 TOR1G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-07BOS 3–1 STL0G 1A 5S0G 0A 3S
2019-10-26BOS 3–0 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2019-06-12 · POBOS 1–4 STL0G 0A 3S1G 1A 2S
2019-06-09 · POBOS 5–1 STL1G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2019-06-06 · POBOS 1–2 STL0G 0A 6S1G 1A 3S
2019-06-03 · POBOS 2–4 STL0G 0A 4S2G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PastrnakO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

David Pastrnak

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to RWLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.7 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start David Pastrnak or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, David Pastrnak projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan O'Reilly's 1.90. Pastrnak had 100 points in 77 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, David Pastrnak or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pastrnak and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, Pastrnak's team went 11–9. Pastrnak had 18 points (9 goals) and O'Reilly had 19 (10 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pastrnak or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Pastrnak has won 0 and O'Reilly 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →