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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Noah Dobson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.

Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: High-danger chances 54.4%, Scoring chances 53.0%, Corsi 54.2%.

Dobson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 65, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.03, On-ice PDO 1014.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Noah Dobson

2.17

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonDobson
Goals (+2)0.420.28
Assists (+1)0.330.41
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.04
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.19
Hits (+0.1)0.120.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.501.16

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Dobson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonDobson
8Team record in 14 meetings6
12Points in those games7

Hamilton 3G 9A, 46 SOG · Dobson 1G 6A, 24 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other1

Hamilton blocked 1 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 1 of Hamilton's.

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

13:28 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
10–8
55.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.1
88.1%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Noah Dobson
DateScoreHamiltonDobson
2026-04-05NJD 3–0 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2026-04-04NJD 3–4 MTL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-06NJD 4–3 MTL0G 0A 1S0G 2A 2S
2024-11-09NJD 4–3 NYI0G 3A 5S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-25NJD 3–4 NYI0G 0A 1S0G 1A 4S
2023-11-28NJD 5–4 NYI0G 0A 2S0G 2A 2S
2023-10-20NJD 5–4 NYI1G 0A 7S0G 1A 3S
2023-03-27NJD 1–5 NYI0G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2022-12-09NJD 4–6 NYI0G 2A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-10-20NJD 4–1 NYI0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2022-04-03NJD 3–4 NYI0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2021-12-11NJD 2–4 NYI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonDobson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −4.0 win%vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Noah Dobson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dougie Hamilton's 1.74. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Noah Dobson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Dobson done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 8–6. Hamilton had 12 points (3 goals) and Dobson had 7 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →