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Who to start · 2025-26

Dougie Hamilton vs Morgan Rielly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Hamilton has 1 game left; Rielly has 1 left. We project Hamilton for 1.6 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

Dougie Hamilton has the better number in 18 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Hamilton's biggest edges: Hardest shot 96.5, Fenwick 54.1%, Corsi 54.2%.

Rielly's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 71, Top skating speed 22.7, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.18.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dougie Hamilton

1.74

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Dougie Hamilton has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHamiltonRielly
Goals (+2)0.420.25
Assists (+1)0.330.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.280.17
Hits (+0.1)0.120.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.500.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Hamilton vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HamiltonRielly
5Team record in 15 meetings10
3Points in those games4

Hamilton 2G 1A, 45 SOG · Rielly 2G 2A, 29 SOG

0Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Hamilton's side)

15:53 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Hamilton's side

Shot attempts
21–14
60.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.2
80.4%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dougie Hamilton and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreHamiltonRielly
2026-03-04NJD 4–3 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-30NJD 0–4 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-21NJD 5–2 TOR0G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-01-16NJD 3–4 TOR0G 0A 0S0G 0A 7S
2024-12-10NJD 1–2 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-10NJD 2–4 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-07NJD 3–4 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2022-11-17NJD 3–2 TOR0G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2022-03-23NJD 2–3 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2019-12-23CAR 6–8 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 3S
2019-04-02CAR 4–1 TOR2G 0A 5S0G 1A 1S
2018-12-11CAR 1–4 TOR0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HamiltonRielly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dougie Hamilton

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Joseph Woll (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NYI1.6 pts
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to Dvs Ilya Sorokin (.906)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Dougie Hamilton or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Dougie Hamilton projects to 1.74 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Hamilton had 39 points in 77 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dougie Hamilton or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Dougie Hamilton leads in 18 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Hamilton and Rielly done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, Hamilton's team went 5–10. Hamilton had 3 points (2 goals) and Rielly had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →