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Who to start · 2025-26

J.T. Miller vs Morgan Rielly

J.T. MillerJ.T. MillerRangers · CentrevsMorgan RiellyMorgan RiellyMaple Leafs · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61.

Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games.

This week Miller has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Rielly has 1 left. We project Miller for 1.5 ESPN points to Rielly's 1.5.

J.T. Miller has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, Forecheck xG /60 0.40.

Rielly's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.4, Ascension score 60, Transition attempts /60 0.63.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Morgan Rielly

1.61

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, J.T. Miller has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMillerRielly
Goals (+2)0.420.25
Assists (+1)0.440.40
Power-play points (+0.5)0.120.06
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.200.17
Hits (+0.1)0.180.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.260.67

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Miller vs Rielly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MillerRielly
12Team record in 26 meetings14
24Points in those games15

Miller 10G 14A, 51 SOG · Rielly 1G 14A, 62 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other5

Miller blocked 1 of Rielly's shots; Rielly blocked 5 of Miller's.

On the ice against each other (Miller's side)

10:35 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Miller's side

Shot attempts
10–6
62.5%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
73.0%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between J.T. Miller and Morgan Rielly
DateScoreMillerRielly
2026-03-25NYR 3–4 TOR0G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-16NYR 1–2 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S
2025-03-20NYR 3–4 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-28NYR 2–3 TOR0G 1A 2S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-11VAN 3–0 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2024-01-20VAN 6–4 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 2A 10S
2023-11-11VAN 2–5 TOR1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-03-04VAN 4–1 TOR1G 1A 5S0G 1A 3S
2022-11-12VAN 2–3 TOR1G 0A 4S0G 1A 1S
2022-03-05VAN 6–4 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 1A 3S
2022-02-12VAN 3–2 TOR1G 1A 1S0G 0A 8S
2021-05-01VAN 1–5 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MillerRielly

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

Morgan Rielly

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.5 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start J.T. Miller or Morgan Rielly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, J.T. Miller projects to 1.63 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Morgan Rielly's 1.61. Miller had 53 points in 68 games; Rielly had 36 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, J.T. Miller or Morgan Rielly?
On 2025-26 numbers, J.T. Miller leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Miller and Rielly done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, Miller's team went 12–14. Miller had 24 points (10 goals) and Rielly had 15 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →