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Who to start · 2025-26

Adam Fox vs J.T. Miller

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63.

Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games.

This week Fox has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Miller has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Fox for 1.5 ESPN points to Miller's 1.5.

Adam Fox has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Fox's biggest edges: Luck Meter +45, Goals above expected +2.1, On-ice PDO 1019.

Miller's biggest edges: Hardest shot 102.6, Hits 123, 20+ mph bursts 147.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 3 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 3 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Adam Fox

2.13

fantasy points per game

J.T. Miller

1.63

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Adam Fox has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromFoxMiller
Goals (+2)0.270.42
Assists (+1)0.830.44
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.20
Hits (+0.1)0.040.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.26

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Fox vs Miller

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

FoxMiller
3Team record in 8 meetings5
6Points in those games8

Fox 1G 5A, 20 SOG · Miller 5G 3A, 21 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other2

Fox blocked 0 of Miller's shots; Miller blocked 2 of Fox's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0
3Goals set up by the other8

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

327:39 at 5-on-5 over 48 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27

Shot attempts
352–282
55.5%
Expected goals
15.8–12.1
56.7%
Goals
9–15

Games against each other

Games between Adam Fox and J.T. Miller
DateScoreFoxMiller
2024-01-08NYR 3–6 VAN0G 0A 2S1G 0A 1S
2023-10-28NYR 4–3 VAN1G 1A 4S1G 0A 2S
2023-02-15NYR 6–4 VAN0G 1A 0S1G 0A 3S
2023-02-08NYR 4–3 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2022-02-27NYR 2–5 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2021-11-02NYR 2–3 VAN0G 2A 5S2G 0A 7S
2020-01-04NYR 1–2 VAN0G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S
2019-10-20NYR 2–3 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 0A 5S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

FoxMiller

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Adam Fox

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to DLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 15th-most FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

J.T. Miller

4games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ BOS
    Opp allows 5th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs TBL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CLikely vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DETB2B
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs John Gibson (.901)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs UTA1.5 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Adam Fox or J.T. Miller in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Adam Fox projects to 2.13 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to J.T. Miller's 1.63. Fox had 53 points in 55 games; Miller had 53 in 68 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Adam Fox or J.T. Miller?
On 2025-26 numbers, Adam Fox leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Fox and Miller done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, Fox's team went 3–5. Fox had 6 points (1 goals) and Miller had 8 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →