Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Holloway vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Holloway's 2.06.

Holloway had 51 points in 59 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Holloway has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Holloway for 2.6 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 22 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Holloway's biggest edges: Hits 129, On-ice PDO 1031, Forecheck xG /60 0.33.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.3%, Faceoffs won 433, Ascension score 59.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Holloway

2.06

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromHollowayCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.700.90
Assists (+1)0.460.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.060.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.26
Hits (+0.1)0.210.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.360.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Holloway vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

HollowayCarlsson
6Team record in 7 meetings1
7Points in those games3

Holloway 4G 3A, 19 SOG · Carlsson 1G 2A, 13 SOG

On the ice against each other (Holloway's side)

10:06 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Holloway's side

Shot attempts
11–9
55.0%
Expected goals
0.8–0.8
50.9%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Holloway and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreHollowayCarlsson
2026-04-03STL 6–2 ANA2G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2026-03-08STL 4–0 ANA0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-01STL 1–4 ANA0G 0A 1S1G 1A 1S
2025-03-16STL 7–2 ANA1G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-07STL 4–3 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-09STL 6–2 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S
2024-02-09EDM 5–3 ANA0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

HollowayCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Holloway

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ DAL
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to LWLikely vs Jake Oettinger (.899)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ COLB2B2.6 pts
    Opp allows 7th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −13.4 win%Likely vs Scott Wedgewood (.921)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Holloway or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Holloway's 2.06. Holloway had 51 points in 59 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Holloway or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 22 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Holloway and Carlsson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Holloway's team went 6–1. Holloway had 7 points (4 goals) and Carlsson had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →