Who to start · 2025-26
Dylan Strome vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.
Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Strome has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Strome for 1.8 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.
Strome's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.104, Faceoff win % 58.3%, On-ice PDO 1031.
Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.29, Goals above expected +1.4.
Head to head on the dot, Strome leads Carlsson 9–7.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Dylan Strome
1.72
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.12
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Strome | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.45 | 0.90 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.58 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.26 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Strome vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Strome 1G 1A, 11 SOG · Carlsson 0G 2A, 13 SOG
Strome's offensive zone 5–1 · neutral 2–2 · Strome's defensive zone 2–4 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Strome's side)
4:14 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–12
- 29.4%
- Expected goals
- 0.0–0.5
- 6.9%
- Goals
- 0–1
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Strome | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-05 | WSH 7–4 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-12-05 | WSH 3–4 ANA | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 7S |
| 2025-03-11 | WSH 7–4 ANA | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-01-14 | WSH 3–0 ANA | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-16 | WSH 2–0 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-11-30 | WSH 5–4 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Dylan Strome
2games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ CAROpp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 ptsOpp allows 11th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)
Leo Carlsson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGKOpp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Dylan Strome or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Dylan Strome or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Strome and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 5–1. Strome had 2 points (1 goals) and Carlsson had 2 (0 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Strome has won 9 and Carlsson 7 of their 16 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →