Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Dylan Strome vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72.

Strome had 58 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Strome has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Strome's 1.8.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 25 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Strome's biggest edges: Offensive-zone start % 74.7%, Ascension score 55, Penalty minutes 46.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +1.2, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.007.

Head to head on the dot, O'Reilly leads Strome 36–25.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 1 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Dylan Strome

1.72

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromStromeO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.450.58
Assists (+1)0.580.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.150.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.20
Hits (+0.1)0.010.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.340.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Strome vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

StromeO'Reilly
5Team record in 14 meetings9
15Points in those games7

Strome 2G 13A, 24 SOG · O'Reilly 2G 5A, 24 SOG

25Faceoffs against each other36

Strome's offensive zone 15–26 · neutral 8–7 · Strome's defensive zone 2–3 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

0Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Strome's side)

5:55 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Strome's side

Shot attempts
10–3
76.9%
Expected goals
0.5–0.0
95.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Dylan Strome and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreStromeO'Reilly
2026-02-05WSH 4–2 NSH0G 2A 1S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-11WSH 2–3 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 0S
2025-01-11WSH 4–1 NSH0G 1A 0S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-06WSH 3–2 NSH0G 2A 0S0G 1A 3S
2023-12-30WSH 2–3 NSH0G 1A 1S0G 1A 4S
2023-12-16WSH 1–3 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-17WSH 4–5 STL0G 2A 1S1G 0A 1S
2022-02-27CHI 0–4 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-02-12CHI 1–5 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2020-03-08CHI 0–2 STL0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2020-02-25CHI 5–6 STL0G 1A 1S1G 1A 2S
2019-12-14CHI 3–4 STL0G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

StromeO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Dylan Strome

2games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ CAR
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Brandon Bussi (.895)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TBLB2B1.8 pts
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to CSchedule edge −13.3 win%vs Andrei Vasilevskiy (.912)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Dylan Strome or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Dylan Strome's 1.72. Strome had 58 points in 80 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Dylan Strome or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 25 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Strome and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Strome's team went 5–9. Strome had 15 points (2 goals) and O'Reilly had 7 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Strome or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Strome has won 25 and O'Reilly 36 of their 61 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →