Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Carlsson for 2.0 ESPN points to Lindholm's 1.7.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 23 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.081, Faceoff win % 56.1%, Blocked shots 59.

Carlsson's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 197, Fenwick 56.3%, Corsi 56.2%.

Head to head on the dot, Lindholm leads Carlsson 7–6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.78

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.550.90
Assists (+1)0.460.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.26
Hits (+0.1)0.060.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.410.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmCarlsson
1Team record in 4 meetings3
6Points in those games5

Lindholm 2G 4A, 10 SOG · Carlsson 3G 2A, 11 SOG

7Faceoffs against each other6

Lindholm's offensive zone 1–4 · neutral 4–1 · Lindholm's defensive zone 2–1 (2023-24 to 2025-26)

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

5:03 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
3–7
30.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.6
30.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreLindholmCarlsson
2025-10-23BOS 5–7 ANA0G 1A 2S0G 1A 4S
2025-03-26BOS 2–6 ANA0G 1A 1S2G 0A 4S
2025-02-22BOS 2–3 ANA1G 0A 3S1G 1A 1S
2023-12-21CGY 3–0 ANA1G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.7 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 23 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and Carlsson done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 1–3. Lindholm had 6 points (2 goals) and Carlsson had 5 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lindholm or Carlsson?
Against each other, Lindholm has won 7 and Carlsson 6 of their 13 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →