Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Lindholm projects to 1.78 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Lindholm for 1.2 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 24 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Draw Equity /100 +0.081, Faceoff win % 56.1%, Blocked shots 59.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.8, High-danger chances 54.8%, Goals above expected +2.1.

Head to head on the dot, Lindholm leads Nugent-Hopkins 82–46.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.74

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Lindholm has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.490.56
Assists (+1)0.450.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.140.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.170.18
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmNugent-Hopkins
17Team record in 43 meetings26
40Points in those games43

Lindholm 23G 17A, 116 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 15G 28A, 102 SOG

82Faceoffs against each other46

Lindholm's offensive zone 41–12 · neutral 27–21 · Lindholm's defensive zone 14–13 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

7Hits on each other3
2Shots blocked by the other1

Lindholm blocked 2 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Lindholm's.

1Penalties drawn off the other1

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

3:17 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
2–6
25.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.6
3.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreLindholmNugent-Hopkins
2025-12-31BOS 6–2 EDM1G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-18BOS 1–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S
2025-01-07BOS 0–4 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-12-19BOS 2–3 EDM1G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-05-20 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S
2024-05-18 · POVAN 1–5 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 2A 1S
2024-05-16 · POVAN 3–2 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-05-14 · POVAN 2–3 EDM0G 1A 1S1G 0A 2S
2024-05-12 · POVAN 4–3 EDM2G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-05-10 · POVAN 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 1A 3S
2024-05-08 · POVAN 5–4 EDM1G 1A 5S0G 2A 1S
2024-04-13VAN 3–1 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 0A 3S

Latest 12 of 43 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Likely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Lindholm projects to 1.78 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 24 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 43 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 17–26. Lindholm had 40 points (23 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 43 (15 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lindholm or Nugent-Hopkins?
Against each other, Lindholm has won 82 and Nugent-Hopkins 46 of their 128 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →