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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Lindholm vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78.

Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week Lindholm has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Lindholm's 1.2.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 26 of the 36 stats both are ranked on.

Lindholm's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.40, Penalty minutes 38, Hardest shot 88.3.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: High-danger chances 53.8%, Scoring chances 53.3%, Corsi 52.6%.

Head to head on the dot, Lindholm leads O'Reilly 118–93.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Lindholm

1.78

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromLindholmO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.550.58
Assists (+1)0.460.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.20
Hits (+0.1)0.060.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.410.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Lindholm vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

LindholmO'Reilly
11Team record in 25 meetings14
17Points in those games16

Lindholm 5G 12A, 56 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 8A, 49 SOG

118Faceoffs against each other93

Lindholm's offensive zone 36–27 · neutral 41–22 · Lindholm's defensive zone 41–44 (2017-18 to 2025-26)

1Hits on each other0
0Shots blocked by the other1

Lindholm blocked 0 of O'Reilly's shots; O'Reilly blocked 1 of Lindholm's.

1Penalties drawn off the other2

On the ice against each other (Lindholm's side)

4:25 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Lindholm's side

Shot attempts
3–9
25.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
28.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Elias Lindholm and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreLindholmO'Reilly
2026-01-27BOS 3–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2025-03-04BOS 3–6 NSH0G 1A 3S2G 1A 2S
2024-10-22BOS 0–4 NSH0G 0A 2S1G 1A 1S
2024-05-03 · POVAN 1–0 NSH0G 0A 5S0G 0A 3S
2024-04-30 · POVAN 1–2 NSH0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-28 · POVAN 4–3 NSH1G 1A 1S0G 1A 2S
2024-04-26 · POVAN 2–1 NSH0G 0A 0S0G 0A 4S
2024-04-23 · POVAN 1–4 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-21 · POVAN 4–2 NSH1G 0A 1S1G 0A 1S
2024-01-04CGY 6–3 NSH0G 1A 2S0G 1A 1S
2023-11-22CGY 2–4 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 3S
2023-11-07CGY 4–2 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 25 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

LindholmO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Lindholm

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs NYR
    Opp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
  • Fri, Oct 2 @ WPG
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.2 pts
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Lindholm or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Lindholm's 1.78. Lindholm had 48 points in 69 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Lindholm or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 26 of 36 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Lindholm and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 25 games against each other in our data, Lindholm's team went 11–14. Lindholm had 17 points (5 goals) and O'Reilly had 16 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Lindholm or O'Reilly?
Against each other, Lindholm has won 118 and O'Reilly 93 of their 211 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →