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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Pettersson's 2.34.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft matchup; Connor has 1 left. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Connor's 2.4.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 642, Blocked shots 108, Turnover Ledger /60 +0.002.

Connor's biggest edges: Luck Meter +36, Goals above expected +1.1, Scoring chances 52.1%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonConnor
Goals (+2)0.591.02
Assists (+1)0.550.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.37
Hits (+0.1)0.130.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2018-19 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

PetterssonConnor
7Team record in 21 meetings14
18Points in those games30

Pettersson 7G 11A, 49 SOG · Connor 13G 17A, 84 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

Pettersson's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–0 · Pettersson's defensive zone 1–0 (2022-23)

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)

16:07 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side

Shot attempts
14–12
53.8%
Expected goals
0.2–0.8
20.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Elias Pettersson and Kyle Connor
DateScorePetterssonConnor
2026-03-07VAN 2–3 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 1A 3S
2026-02-25VAN 2–3 WPG0G 1A 0S1G 0A 4S
2025-11-11VAN 3–5 WPG0G 2A 1S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-18VAN 6–2 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-14VAN 1–6 WPG0G 0A 1S3G 1A 3S
2024-03-09VAN 5–0 WPG1G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-02-17VAN 2–4 WPG0G 0A 4S0G 2A 1S
2023-01-08VAN 4–7 WPG0G 1A 6S3G 0A 6S
2022-12-29VAN 2–4 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 2A 3S
2022-01-27VAN 5–1 WPG1G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S
2021-12-10VAN 4–3 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 2A 6S
2021-11-19VAN 3–2 WPG0G 1A 3S0G 1A 2S

Latest 12 of 21 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Elias Pettersson's 2.34. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Pettersson and Connor done against each other?
In 21 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 7–14. Pettersson had 18 points (7 goals) and Connor had 30 (13 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Connor?
Against each other, Pettersson has won 1 and Connor 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →