Who to start · 2025-26
Elias Pettersson vs Leo Carlsson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.02.
Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.
This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Carlsson has 2 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Carlsson's 3.2.
Leo Carlsson has the better number in 23 of the 35 stats both are ranked on.
Pettersson's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.002, Hits 67, Blocked shots 108.
Carlsson's biggest edges: Corsi 56.2%, Fenwick 56.3%, Expected goals 55.4%.
Head to head on the dot, Pettersson leads Carlsson 27–11.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Elias Pettersson
2.05
fantasy points per game
Leo Carlsson
2.02
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Pettersson | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.41 | 0.83 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.49 | 0.54 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.09 | 0.02 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.73 | 0.21 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Pettersson vs Carlsson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Pettersson 1G 3A, 14 SOG · Carlsson 2G 2A, 18 SOG
Pettersson's offensive zone 14–2 · neutral 4–5 · Pettersson's defensive zone 9–4 (2023-24 to 2025-26)
On the ice against each other (Pettersson's side)
11:22 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Pettersson's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–15
- 25.0%
- Expected goals
- 0.2–0.6
- 23.5%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Pettersson | Carlsson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | VAN 4–3 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2026-03-24 | VAN 3–5 ANA | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 2A 3S |
| 2025-11-26 | VAN 5–4 ANA | 0G 1A 3S | 1G 0A 6S |
| 2025-03-05 | VAN 3–2 ANA | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-02-27 | VAN 2–5 ANA | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-11-05 | VAN 5–1 ANA | 1G 0A 6S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-03-31 | VAN 3–2 ANA | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Elias Pettersson
4games (2 left)
3.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ EDMOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs EDMOpp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 ptsOpp allows 2nd-most FP to CLikely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)
Leo Carlsson
2games
3.2proj. ESPN pts
- Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK1.6 ptsOpp allows 4th-fewest FP to Cvs Carter Hart (.891)
- Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 ptsOpp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Elias Pettersson or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.02. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Leo Carlsson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 23 of 35 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Pettersson and Carlsson done against each other?
- In 7 games against each other in our data, Pettersson's team went 5–2. Pettersson had 4 points (1 goals) and Carlsson had 4 (2 goals).
- Who wins more faceoffs, Pettersson or Carlsson?
- Against each other, Pettersson has won 27 and Carlsson 11 of their 38 head-to-head draws.
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →