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Who to start · 2025-26

Elias Pettersson vs Tyler Toffoli

Elias PetterssonElias PetterssonCanucks · CentrevsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Pettersson has 2 games left with 1 soft and 1 tough matchups; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Pettersson for 3.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Elias Pettersson has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Pettersson's biggest edges: Ascension score 57, Faceoffs won 642, Top skating speed 22.7.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Luck Meter +28, Transition attempts /60 1.64, On-ice PDO 1006.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 2 G, 2 A, 2 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Elias Pettersson

2.34

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Elias Pettersson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromPetterssonToffoli
Goals (+2)0.590.45
Assists (+1)0.550.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.180.21
Hits (+0.1)0.130.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.700.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head

Elias Pettersson and Tyler Toffoli have no head-to-head events in our data yet (regular season and playoffs since 2019-20).

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

PetterssonToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Elias Pettersson

4games (2 left)

3.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to CLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.3 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to CSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.5 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 9th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Elias Pettersson or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Elias Pettersson projects to 2.34 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Pettersson had 51 points in 74 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Elias Pettersson or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Elias Pettersson leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →