Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Erik Karlsson vs Filip Hronek

Erik KarlssonErik KarlssonPenguins · DefencevsFilip HronekFilip HronekCanucks · Defence

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96.

Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games.

This week Karlsson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Hronek has 2 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Hronek for 3.5 ESPN points to Karlsson's 1.3.

Erik Karlsson has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Karlsson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +8, Expected goals 52.2%, Forecheck xG /60 0.32.

Hronek's biggest edges: Hits 133, Blocked shots 100, Ascension score 52.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Erik Karlsson

1.96

fantasy points per game

Filip Hronek

2.03

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Filip Hronek has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKarlssonHronek
Goals (+2)0.380.17
Assists (+1)0.700.68
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.240.17
Hits (+0.1)0.030.14
Blocks (+0.5)0.430.71

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Karlsson vs Hronek

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KarlssonHronek
5Team record in 12 meetings7
12Points in those games11

Karlsson 2G 10A, 28 SOG · Hronek 2G 9A, 10 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Karlsson's side)

14:45 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Karlsson's side

Shot attempts
15–16
48.4%
Expected goals
0.7–0.7
48.7%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Erik Karlsson and Filip Hronek
DateScoreKarlssonHronek
2026-01-25PIT 3–2 VAN0G 0A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-21PIT 5–1 VAN0G 0A 0S0G 1A 0S
2024-11-27PIT 5–4 VAN0G 3A 2S0G 1A 2S
2024-10-26PIT 3–4 VAN0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-27PIT 4–3 VAN1G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-01-11PIT 3–4 VAN0G 1A 2S0G 2A 0S
2023-03-23SJS 2–7 VAN0G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-01-24SJS 2–3 DET0G 2A 1S0G 1A 2S
2022-11-17SJS 4–7 DET1G 3A 4S1G 0A 1S
2022-01-11SJS 3–2 DET0G 0A 4S0G 2A 0S
2022-01-04SJS 2–6 DET0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2019-12-31SJS 0–2 DET0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KarlssonHronek

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Erik Karlsson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 @ PHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to DLikely vs Dan Vladar (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs MTL1.3 pts
    Opp allows 7th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)

Filip Hronek

4games (2 left)

3.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to DLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY2.1 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to DSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.4 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Erik Karlsson or Filip Hronek in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Filip Hronek projects to 2.03 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Erik Karlsson's 1.96. Karlsson had 66 points in 75 games; Hronek had 49 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Erik Karlsson or Filip Hronek?
On 2025-26 numbers, Erik Karlsson leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Karlsson and Hronek done against each other?
In 12 games against each other in our data, Karlsson's team went 5–7. Karlsson had 12 points (2 goals) and Hronek had 11 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →