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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Mike Matheson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Matheson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Matheson's 1.3.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 47.6%, Offensive-zone start % 60.1%, High-danger chances 57.1%.

Matheson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 22.8, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.035, Hits 59.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

3.14

fantasy points per game

Mike Matheson

1.80

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardMatheson
Goals (+2)0.920.17
Assists (+1)1.030.42
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.01
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.300.16
Hits (+0.1)0.040.07
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.96

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Matheson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardMatheson
7Team record in 10 meetings3
11Points in those games5

Bouchard 4G 7A, 33 SOG · Matheson 0G 5A, 19 SOG

3Shots blocked by the other2

Bouchard blocked 3 of Matheson's shots; Matheson blocked 2 of Bouchard's.

On the ice against each other (Bouchard's side)

17:56 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Bouchard's side

Shot attempts
14–19
42.4%
Expected goals
0.4–1.1
28.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Evan Bouchard and Mike Matheson
DateScoreBouchardMatheson
2025-12-14EDM 1–4 MTL0G 1A 6S0G 0A 0S
2025-10-23EDM 6–5 MTL0G 1A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-06EDM 3–2 MTL1G 1A 2S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-18EDM 0–3 MTL0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2024-03-19EDM 3–2 MTL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-13EDM 2–1 MTL1G 0A 6S0G 1A 4S
2023-02-12EDM 2–6 MTL0G 2A 2S0G 1A 0S
2022-12-03EDM 5–3 MTL0G 0A 0S0G 1A 5S
2022-04-26EDM 5–1 PIT1G 0A 6S0G 1A 0S
2021-12-01EDM 5–2 PIT1G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardMatheson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Mike Matheson

2games (1 left)

1.3proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ TOR
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 pts
    Opp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Mike Matheson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Mike Matheson's 1.80. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Matheson had 37 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Mike Matheson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Bouchard and Matheson done against each other?
In 10 games against each other in our data, Bouchard's team went 7–3. Bouchard had 11 points (4 goals) and Matheson had 5 (0 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →