Who to start · 2025-26
Mike Matheson vs Pavel Zacha
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70.
Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games.
This week Matheson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Zacha has 1 left. We project Matheson for 1.3 ESPN points to Zacha's 1.0.
Pavel Zacha has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Matheson's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.33, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.06, Ascension score 56.
Zacha's biggest edges: Offensive-zone time 42.4%, Power-play share 65.7%, Goals above expected +7.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 6 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Mike Matheson
1.80
fantasy points per game
Pavel Zacha
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mike Matheson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Matheson | Zacha |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.17 | 0.68 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.42 | 0.40 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.96 | 0.24 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Matheson vs Zacha
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Matheson 5G 12A, 67 SOG · Zacha 7G 15A, 58 SOG
Matheson blocked 1 of Zacha's shots; Zacha blocked 1 of Matheson's.
On the ice against each other (Matheson's side)
11:28 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Matheson's side
- Shot attempts
- 14–5
- 73.7%
- Expected goals
- 0.3–0.1
- 71.3%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Matheson | Zacha |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-17 | MTL 3–2 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 2G 0A 4S |
| 2026-01-24 | MTL 3–4 BOS | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-12-23 | MTL 6–2 BOS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-15 | MTL 2–3 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2025-04-03 | MTL 4–1 BOS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2024-12-01 | MTL 3–6 BOS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-10 | MTL 4–6 BOS | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-03-14 | MTL 1–2 BOS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-01-20 | MTL 4–9 BOS | 1G 0A 5S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-11-18 | MTL 2–5 BOS | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
| 2023-11-11 | MTL 3–2 BOS | 0G 1A 2S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-04-13 | MTL 4–5 BOS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
Latest 12 of 31 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Mike Matheson
2games (1 left)
1.3proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.3 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Pavel Zacha
3games (1 left)
1.0proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs NYROpp allows 15th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Igor Shesterkin (.912)
- Fri, Oct 2 @ WPGOpp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Stuart Skinner (.888)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ MINB2B1.0 ptsOpp allows 11th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −12.7 win%vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Mike Matheson or Pavel Zacha in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mike Matheson projects to 1.80 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Pavel Zacha's 1.70. Matheson had 37 points in 78 games; Zacha had 65 in 78 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Mike Matheson or Pavel Zacha?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Pavel Zacha leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Matheson and Zacha done against each other?
- In 31 games against each other in our data, Matheson's team went 16–15. Matheson had 17 points (5 goals) and Zacha had 22 (7 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →