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Who to start · 2025-26

Evan Bouchard vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Evan BouchardEvan BouchardOilers · DefencevsRyan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsOilers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Bouchard has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Bouchard for 1.9 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Evan Bouchard has the better number in 27 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Bouchard's biggest edges: Plus/minus +25, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.06, 20+ mph bursts 77.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.26, Top skating speed 22.8, Goals above expected +2.6.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 4 G, 4 A, 1 PPP, 10 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Evan Bouchard

2.55

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Evan Bouchard has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBouchardNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.510.56
Assists (+1)0.900.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.200.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.270.18
Hits (+0.1)0.040.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.620.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Bouchard vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BouchardNugent-Hopkins
0Shots blocked by the other6

Bouchard blocked 0 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 6 of Bouchard's.

24Goals set up by the other31

Goals each scored with the other picking up an assist (as teammates).

On the ice together

458:12 at 5-on-5 over 76 games, 2025-26

Shot attempts
473–430
52.4%
Expected goals
26.5–20.2
56.7%
Goals
26–23

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BouchardNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Evan Bouchard

3games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to DLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.9 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to DLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Evan Bouchard or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Evan Bouchard projects to 3.14 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Bouchard had 95 points in 82 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Evan Bouchard or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Evan Bouchard leads in 27 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →