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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Barbashev vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Barbashev projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Barbashev has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Cates has 1 left. We project Barbashev for 1.8 ESPN points to Cates's 1.0.

Ivan Barbashev has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Net penalties drawn /60 +0.54, Fenwick 53.4%, Hardest shot 87.4.

Cates's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 +0.031, Penalty minutes 44, Faceoffs won 467.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Barbashev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarbashevCates
Goals (+2)0.490.39
Assists (+1)0.530.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.16
Hits (+0.1)0.180.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barbashev vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarbashevCates
4Team record in 7 meetings3
7Points in those games3

Barbashev 4G 3A, 17 SOG · Cates 2G 1A, 11 SOG

0Shots blocked by the other1

Barbashev blocked 0 of Cates's shots; Cates blocked 1 of Barbashev's.

On the ice against each other (Barbashev's side)

8:03 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Barbashev's side

Shot attempts
6–6
50.0%
Expected goals
0.2–0.1
65.8%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Barbashev and Noah Cates
DateScoreBarbashevCates
2026-01-19VGK 1–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-11VGK 3–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 0A 4S
2024-11-25VGK 5–4 PHI1G 1A 3S0G 0A 0S
2023-11-18VGK 3–4 PHI0G 0A 2S0G 0A 0S
2023-10-24VGK 3–2 PHI1G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-03-14VGK 5–3 PHI2G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-08STL 1–5 PHI0G 1A 2S1G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarbashevCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Likely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to LWLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.0 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.2 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Barbashev or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Barbashev projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Barbashev or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Barbashev leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barbashev and Cates done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Barbashev's team went 4–3. Barbashev had 7 points (4 goals) and Cates had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →