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Who to start · 2025-26

Ivan Barbashev vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Barbashev projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Barbashev has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Barbashev for 1.8 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Ivan Barbashev has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Barbashev's biggest edges: Plus/minus +20, High-danger chances 57.9%, Expected goals 57.3%.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.64, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Power-play time per game 2:53.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 2 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Ivan Barbashev

1.59

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ivan Barbashev has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBarbashevToffoli
Goals (+2)0.490.45
Assists (+1)0.530.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.030.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.150.21
Hits (+0.1)0.180.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.200.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Barbashev vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BarbashevToffoli
14Team record in 19 meetings5
17Points in those games15

Barbashev 6G 11A, 25 SOG · Toffoli 6G 9A, 49 SOG

0Hits on each other3

On the ice against each other (Barbashev's side)

24:43 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Barbashev's side

Shot attempts
27–18
60.0%
Expected goals
1.8–0.6
75.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Ivan Barbashev and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreBarbashevToffoli
2026-01-11VGK 7–2 SJS0G 1A 0S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-23VGK 7–2 SJS0G 2A 0S0G 2A 1S
2025-11-29VGK 4–3 SJS0G 0A 3S0G 1A 1S
2025-10-09VGK 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-10-26VGK 7–3 SJS0G 1A 3S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-28VGK 4–1 WPG2G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2024-01-22VGK 5–6 NJD0G 1A 1S3G 0A 7S
2023-03-23VGK 3–2 CGY0G 1A 1S0G 0A 5S
2023-03-16VGK 2–7 CGY0G 0A 0S2G 2A 4S
2023-01-12STL 1–4 CGY0G 1A 3S0G 2A 3S
2023-01-10STL 4–3 CGY0G 0A 0S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-16STL 5–2 CGY1G 1A 2S0G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BarbashevToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Ivan Barbashev

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs CHI
    Opp allows 2nd-most FP to LWLikely vs Spencer Knight (.902)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs ANA
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Lukas Dostal (.888)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ VAN1.8 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Ivan Barbashev or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ivan Barbashev projects to 1.59 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Barbashev had 61 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Ivan Barbashev or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ivan Barbashev leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Barbashev and Toffoli done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Barbashev's team went 14–5. Barbashev had 17 points (6 goals) and Toffoli had 15 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →