Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jackson Blake vs Kirill Marchenko

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.

Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games.

This week Blake has 1 game left with 1 soft matchup; Marchenko has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Blake's 1.7.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 21 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Blake's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.40, High-danger chances 57.0%, Sequence xG 57.8%.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 301, Hits 61.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jackson Blake

1.45

fantasy points per game

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromBlakeMarchenko
Goals (+2)0.480.63
Assists (+1)0.400.52
Power-play points (+0.5)0.090.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.29
Hits (+0.1)0.010.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.240.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Blake vs Marchenko

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

BlakeMarchenko
5Team record in 9 meetings4
4Points in those games10

Blake 2G 2A, 16 SOG · Marchenko 6G 4A, 26 SOG

On the ice against each other (Blake's side)

8:42 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side

Shot attempts
11–6
64.7%
Expected goals
0.1–0.4
21.4%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jackson Blake and Kirill Marchenko
DateScoreBlakeMarchenko
2026-04-02CAR 5–1 CBJ0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2026-03-31CAR 5–2 CBJ0G 0A 3S1G 1A 5S
2026-03-17CAR 1–5 CBJ0G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-12-09CAR 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 1S0G 1A 2S
2025-01-23CAR 7–4 CBJ1G 1A 2S1G 0A 2S
2024-12-31CAR 3–4 CBJ0G 0A 0S2G 0A 5S
2024-12-15CAR 4–1 CBJ0G 0A 0S0G 1A 4S
2024-11-23CAR 4–5 CBJ1G 0A 4S2G 0A 4S
2024-04-16CAR 3–6 CBJ0G 0A 2S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

BlakeMarchenko

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jackson Blake

3games (1 left)

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)
  • Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
    Likely vs Logan Thompson (.912)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.7 pts
    Opp allows 5th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −12.8 win%Likely vs Dan Vladar (.906)

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

FAQ

Should I start Jackson Blake or Kirill Marchenko in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; Marchenko had 67 in 76 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jackson Blake or Kirill Marchenko?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 21 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Blake and Marchenko done against each other?
In 9 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 5–4. Blake had 4 points (2 goals) and Marchenko had 10 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →