Who to start · 2025-26
Jackson Blake vs Ryan O'Reilly
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45.
Blake had 53 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.
This week Blake has 1 game left; O'Reilly has 1 left. We project O'Reilly for 2.0 ESPN points to Blake's 1.4.
Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Blake's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.75, Offensive-zone start % 76.9%, Ascension score 55.
O'Reilly's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 739, Luck Meter +52, Goals above expected +1.2.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 5 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Jackson Blake
1.45
fantasy points per game
Ryan O'Reilly
1.90
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.
| Points per game from | Blake | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.40 | 0.57 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.01 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.24 | 0.38 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Blake vs O'Reilly
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Blake 3G 2A, 15 SOG · O'Reilly 1G 2A, 10 SOG
On the ice against each other (Blake's side)
8:42 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Blake's side
- Shot attempts
- 5–3
- 62.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.0
- 97.0%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Blake | O'Reilly |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-17 | CAR 4–1 NSH | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2025-12-06 | CAR 6–3 NSH | 2G 1A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-25 | CAR 1–3 NSH | 0G 0A 5S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2024-12-23 | CAR 2–5 NSH | 0G 0A 1S | 1G 0A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Jackson Blake
3games (1 left)
1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Tue, Sep 29 vs FLA
- Fri, Oct 2 vs WSH
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PHIB2B1.4 pts
Ryan O'Reilly
2games (1 left)
2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
- Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Jackson Blake or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jackson Blake's 1.45. Blake had 53 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Jackson Blake or Ryan O'Reilly?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Blake and O'Reilly done against each other?
- In 4 games against each other in our data, Blake's team went 2–2. Blake had 5 points (3 goals) and O'Reilly had 3 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →