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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake DeBrusk vs Kyle Connor

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.

DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games.

This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Connor has 1 left. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Connor's 2.4.

Kyle Connor has the better number in 25 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.5, Transition attempts /60 1.79, Blocked shots 34.

Connor's biggest edges: Luck Meter +36, Goals above expected +1.1, On-ice PDO 1017.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 9 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake DeBrusk

1.42

fantasy points per game

Kyle Connor

2.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kyle Connor has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBruskConnor
Goals (+2)0.501.02
Assists (+1)0.270.67
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.14
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.37
Hits (+0.1)0.080.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.17

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Connor

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBruskConnor
9Team record in 15 meetings6
11Points in those games14

DeBrusk 6G 5A, 33 SOG · Connor 8G 6A, 45 SOG

1Shots blocked by the other0

DeBrusk blocked 1 of Connor's shots; Connor blocked 0 of DeBrusk's.

On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)

6:56 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side

Shot attempts
4–2
66.7%
Expected goals
0.1–0.3
20.1%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jake DeBrusk and Kyle Connor
DateScoreDeBruskConnor
2026-03-07VAN 2–3 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 1A 3S
2026-02-25VAN 2–3 WPG0G 0A 1S1G 0A 4S
2025-11-11VAN 3–5 WPG1G 0A 2S0G 1A 5S
2025-03-30VAN 1–3 WPG0G 1A 2S1G 1A 3S
2025-03-18VAN 6–2 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2025-01-14VAN 1–6 WPG0G 0A 1S3G 1A 3S
2024-01-22BOS 4–1 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2023-03-16BOS 3–0 WPG0G 0A 2S0G 0A 6S
2022-12-22BOS 3–2 WPG1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-03-18BOS 4–2 WPG0G 1A 0S0G 1A 6S
2022-01-22BOS 3–2 WPG0G 1A 1S0G 0A 3S
2020-01-31BOS 2–1 WPG1G 0A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 15 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBruskConnor

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Kyle Connor

2games (1 left)

2.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)
  • Sun, Oct 4 @ DET2.4 pts
    Opp allows 13th-most FP to LWLikely vs John Gibson (.901)

FAQ

Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Kyle Connor in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kyle Connor projects to 2.43 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Connor had 92 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Kyle Connor?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kyle Connor leads in 25 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrusk and Connor done against each other?
In 15 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 9–6. DeBrusk had 11 points (6 goals) and Connor had 14 (8 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →