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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake DeBrusk vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.

DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Carlsson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Carlsson's 1.6.

Leo Carlsson has the better number in 26 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Hits 66, Transition attempts /60 1.79, Top skating speed 23.5.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Fenwick 56.3%, Corsi 56.2%, Goals above expected +1.4.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake DeBrusk

1.42

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Leo Carlsson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBruskCarlsson
Goals (+2)0.500.90
Assists (+1)0.270.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.26
Hits (+0.1)0.080.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBruskCarlsson
5Team record in 8 meetings3
4Points in those games6

DeBrusk 4G 0A, 15 SOG · Carlsson 3G 3A, 22 SOG

1Faceoffs against each other0

DeBrusk's offensive zone 1–0 · neutral 0–0 · DeBrusk's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)

9:53 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side

Shot attempts
10–13
43.5%
Expected goals
0.5–0.6
43.9%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake DeBrusk and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreDeBruskCarlsson
2026-04-12VAN 4–3 ANA1G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2026-03-24VAN 3–5 ANA1G 0A 4S0G 2A 3S
2025-11-26VAN 5–4 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 6S
2025-04-05VAN 6–2 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-03-05VAN 3–2 ANA1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-27VAN 2–5 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-11-05VAN 5–1 ANA1G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2023-10-26BOS 3–4 ANA0G 0A 0S1G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBruskCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Carter Hart (.891)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jacob Markstrom (.883)

FAQ

Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Leo Carlsson projects to 2.12 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Leo Carlsson leads in 26 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrusk and Carlsson done against each other?
In 8 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 5–3. DeBrusk had 4 points (4 goals) and Carlsson had 6 (3 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrusk or Carlsson?
Against each other, DeBrusk has won 1 and Carlsson 0 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →