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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake DeBrusk vs Ryan O'Reilly

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42.

DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games.

This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; O'Reilly has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to O'Reilly's 2.0.

Ryan O'Reilly has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Transition attempts /60 1.79, Top skating speed 23.5, Hits 66.

O'Reilly's biggest edges: Luck Meter +52, Plus/minus +8, Goals above expected +1.2.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake DeBrusk

1.42

fantasy points per game

Ryan O'Reilly

1.90

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan O'Reilly has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBruskO'Reilly
Goals (+2)0.500.58
Assists (+1)0.270.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.20
Hits (+0.1)0.080.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.38

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs O'Reilly

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBruskO'Reilly
14Team record in 26 meetings12
10Points in those games16

DeBrusk 5G 5A, 53 SOG · O'Reilly 8G 8A, 53 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other2

DeBrusk's offensive zone 0–1 · neutral 0–1 · DeBrusk's defensive zone 0–0 (2018-19)

On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)

9:56 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side

Shot attempts
6–16
27.3%
Expected goals
0.2–0.5
30.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake DeBrusk and Ryan O'Reilly
DateScoreDeBruskO'Reilly
2026-03-12VAN 4–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-03VAN 5–4 NSH1G 0A 6S0G 0A 1S
2025-10-23VAN 1–2 NSH0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-01-29VAN 3–1 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2025-01-03VAN 0–3 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-17VAN 3–5 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 1A 0S
2024-04-02BOS 3–0 NSH0G 0A 1S0G 0A 5S
2023-10-14BOS 3–2 NSH0G 0A 3S0G 0A 2S
2023-04-06BOS 2–1 TOR0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S
2022-11-07BOS 3–1 STL1G 0A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-19BOS 3–2 STL1G 1A 4S0G 0A 1S
2022-04-12BOS 2–4 STL0G 0A 2S0G 1A 1S

Latest 12 of 26 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBruskO'Reilly

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −3.4 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Ryan O'Reilly

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs MIN
    Opp allows 11th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Jesper Wallstedt (.916)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs DAL2.0 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to CSchedule edge +13.0 win%Likely vs Casey DeSmith (.907)

FAQ

Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Ryan O'Reilly in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan O'Reilly projects to 1.90 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jake DeBrusk's 1.42. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; O'Reilly had 74 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Ryan O'Reilly?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan O'Reilly leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrusk and O'Reilly done against each other?
In 26 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 14–12. DeBrusk had 10 points (5 goals) and O'Reilly had 16 (8 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, DeBrusk or O'Reilly?
Against each other, DeBrusk has won 0 and O'Reilly 2 of their 2 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →