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Who to start · 2025-26

Jake DeBrusk vs Tyler Toffoli

Jake DeBruskJake DeBruskCanucks · Left wingvsTyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSharks · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake DeBrusk projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week DeBrusk has 2 games left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project DeBrusk for 2.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Jake DeBrusk has the better number in 17 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

DeBrusk's biggest edges: Top skating speed 23.5, 20+ mph bursts 168, Ascension score 43.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Luck Meter +14, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, On-ice PDO 1006.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 4 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake DeBrusk

1.42

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake DeBrusk has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDeBruskToffoli
Goals (+2)0.500.45
Assists (+1)0.270.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.260.21
Hits (+0.1)0.080.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: DeBrusk vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DeBruskToffoli
13Team record in 20 meetings7
14Points in those games17

DeBrusk 5G 9A, 49 SOG · Toffoli 7G 10A, 59 SOG

1Hits on each other0

On the ice against each other (DeBrusk's side)

13:51 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26, from DeBrusk's side

Shot attempts
9–19
32.1%
Expected goals
0.4–1.0
27.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jake DeBrusk and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreDeBruskToffoli
2026-04-11VAN 4–3 SJS1G 0A 8S1G 0A 4S
2026-01-27VAN 2–5 SJS0G 2A 2S1G 0A 5S
2025-12-27VAN 3–6 SJS0G 0A 2S0G 0A 2S
2025-11-28VAN 2–3 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 1A 4S
2025-04-14VAN 2–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2025-02-06VAN 2–1 SJS0G 0A 0S1G 0A 7S
2024-12-23VAN 4–3 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-11-02VAN 3–2 SJS1G 0A 2S0G 1A 0S
2024-01-15BOS 3–0 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-12-30BOS 5–2 NJD1G 1A 2S0G 2A 1S
2023-12-13BOS 1–2 NJD0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2023-02-28BOS 4–3 CGY0G 2A 0S0G 1A 5S

Latest 12 of 20 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DeBruskToffoli

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake DeBrusk

4games (2 left)

2.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 @ EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Tristan Jarry (.882)
  • Thu, Oct 1 vs EDM
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to LWLikely vs Devon Levi (.682)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CGY1.4 pts
    Opp allows 16th-most FP to LWSchedule edge −4.0 win%Likely vs Dustin Wolf (.899)
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs VGKB2B1.3 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Carter Hart (.891)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Jake DeBrusk or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake DeBrusk projects to 1.42 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. DeBrusk had 42 points in 81 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake DeBrusk or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake DeBrusk leads in 17 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have DeBrusk and Toffoli done against each other?
In 20 games against each other in our data, DeBrusk's team went 13–7. DeBrusk had 14 points (5 goals) and Toffoli had 17 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →