Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Jake Sanderson vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Sanderson projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Sanderson had 54 points in 67 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Sanderson has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Sanderson for 1.7 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.5.

Jake Sanderson has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Sanderson's biggest edges: Top skating speed 24.4, 20+ mph bursts 204, Faceoffs won 0.

Toffoli's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1006, Hits 48, Penalty minutes 10.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jake Sanderson

2.40

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.43

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jake Sanderson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSandersonToffoli
Goals (+2)0.420.48
Assists (+1)0.600.38
Power-play points (+0.5)0.160.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.220.22
Hits (+0.1)0.040.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.960.20

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Sanderson vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SandersonToffoli
4Team record in 6 meetings2
3Points in those games3

Sanderson 0G 3A, 15 SOG · Toffoli 2G 1A, 16 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Sanderson's side)

1:42 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Sanderson's side

Shot attempts
1–0
100.0%
Expected goals
0.0–0.0
100.0%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jake Sanderson and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreSandersonToffoli
2025-11-22OTT 3–2 SJS0G 1A 2S0G 0A 1S
2025-03-01OTT 5–3 SJS0G 1A 4S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-27OTT 4–3 SJS0G 0A 1S0G 0A 2S
2024-03-30OTT 3–2 WPG0G 1A 4S0G 0A 5S
2023-12-29OTT 2–6 NJD0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2023-03-12OTT 1–5 CGY0G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SandersonToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jake Sanderson

1games

1.7proj. ESPN pts

  • Sat, Oct 3 @ TOR1.7 pts
    Opp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.5 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Jake Sanderson or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jake Sanderson projects to 2.40 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Sanderson had 54 points in 67 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jake Sanderson or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jake Sanderson leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Sanderson and Toffoli done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Sanderson's team went 4–2. Sanderson had 3 points (0 goals) and Toffoli had 3 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →