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Who to start · 2025-26

Jared Spurgeon vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55.

Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Spurgeon has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Spurgeon for 1.1 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Spurgeon's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.045, Hits 82, Net penalties drawn /60 0.00.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Forecheck xG /60 0.34, Offensive-zone start % 60.5%, Ice-time share 31.4%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jared Spurgeon

1.48

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromSpurgeonNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.150.56
Assists (+1)0.200.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.040.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.110.18
Hits (+0.1)0.100.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.870.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Spurgeon vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

SpurgeonNugent-Hopkins
11Team record in 17 meetings6
5Points in those games19

Spurgeon 4G 1A, 29 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 7G 12A, 50 SOG

1Hits on each other0
5Shots blocked by the other1

Spurgeon blocked 5 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Spurgeon's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Spurgeon's side)

9:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Spurgeon's side

Shot attempts
5–15
25.0%
Expected goals
0.4–0.5
49.4%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Jared Spurgeon and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreSpurgeonNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-31MIN 7–3 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-20MIN 5–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-02MIN 1–0 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-12MIN 1–7 EDM0G 0A 2S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-21MIN 5–3 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-08MIN 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 4A 4S
2022-12-12MIN 2–1 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-09MIN 2–5 EDM0G 1A 3S1G 2A 2S
2022-12-01MIN 5–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-12MIN 5–1 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 2S
2022-02-20MIN 7–3 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 1A 4S
2020-02-21MIN 5–3 EDM3G 0A 6S2G 1A 4S

Latest 12 of 17 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

SpurgeonNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jared Spurgeon

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 11th-most FP to DLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Jared Spurgeon or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Jared Spurgeon's 1.55. Spurgeon had 22 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jared Spurgeon or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Spurgeon and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 17 games against each other in our data, Spurgeon's team went 11–6. Spurgeon had 5 points (4 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 19 (7 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →