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Who to start · 2025-26

Jason Robertson vs Leo Carlsson

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12.

Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games.

This week Robertson has 1 game left; Carlsson has 1 left. We project Robertson for 2.6 ESPN points to Carlsson's 2.0.

Jason Robertson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Robertson's biggest edges: On-ice PDO 1036, Transition attempts /60 1.71, Hardest shot 90.2.

Carlsson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 433, Ascension score 59, 20+ mph bursts 197.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jason Robertson

2.44

fantasy points per game

Leo Carlsson

2.12

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRobertsonCarlsson
Goals (+2)1.030.90
Assists (+1)0.580.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.230.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.02
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.26
Hits (+0.1)0.050.02
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.23

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Robertson vs Carlsson

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RobertsonCarlsson
4Team record in 7 meetings3
6Points in those games5

Robertson 2G 4A, 26 SOG · Carlsson 4G 1A, 10 SOG

On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)

7:49 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side

Shot attempts
5–13
27.8%
Expected goals
0.4–0.2
62.3%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Jason Robertson and Leo Carlsson
DateScoreRobertsonCarlsson
2025-12-19DAL 8–3 ANA2G 1A 4S0G 0A 0S
2025-11-06DAL 5–7 ANA0G 2A 3S1G 1A 1S
2025-03-18DAL 4–3 ANA0G 0A 4S2G 0A 3S
2025-02-04DAL 1–2 ANA0G 0A 5S0G 0A 0S
2024-11-18DAL 2–4 ANA0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-25DAL 4–3 ANA0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2023-10-19DAL 3–2 ANA0G 1A 3S1G 0A 2S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RobertsonCarlsson

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jason Robertson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.6 pts
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%

Leo Carlsson

2games (1 left)

2.0proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 @ VGK
  • Sun, Oct 4 vs FLA2.0 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jason Robertson or Leo Carlsson in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Leo Carlsson's 2.12. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Carlsson had 67 in 70 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jason Robertson or Leo Carlsson?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Robertson and Carlsson done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 4–3. Robertson had 6 points (2 goals) and Carlsson had 5 (4 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →