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Who to start · 2025-26

Jason Robertson vs Tyler Toffoli

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35.

Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games.

This week Robertson has 1 game left; Toffoli has 1 left. We project Robertson for 2.6 ESPN points to Toffoli's 1.4.

Jason Robertson has the better number in 29 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Robertson's biggest edges: Plus/minus +22, Top skating speed 22.7, Expected goals 56.4%.

Toffoli's biggest edges: Turnover Ledger /60 −0.004, Faceoffs won 6, Luck Meter +14.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Jason Robertson

2.44

fantasy points per game

Tyler Toffoli

1.35

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Jason Robertson has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromRobertsonToffoli
Goals (+2)1.030.45
Assists (+1)0.580.36
Power-play points (+0.5)0.230.09
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.350.21
Hits (+0.1)0.050.06
Blocks (+0.5)0.190.18

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Robertson vs Toffoli

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

RobertsonToffoli
10Team record in 19 meetings9
21Points in those games12

Robertson 9G 12A, 55 SOG · Toffoli 6G 6A, 61 SOG

2Hits on each other2

On the ice against each other (Robertson's side)

11:58 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Robertson's side

Shot attempts
16–7
69.6%
Expected goals
0.6–0.2
72.7%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Jason Robertson and Tyler Toffoli
DateScoreRobertsonToffoli
2026-01-10DAL 4–5 SJS1G 1A 3S2G 1A 5S
2025-12-18DAL 5–3 SJS0G 0A 5S0G 0A 2S
2025-12-05DAL 4–1 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 0A 1S
2025-02-08DAL 8–3 SJS1G 0A 3S0G 1A 2S
2024-11-20DAL 5–2 SJS1G 2A 4S0G 0A 4S
2024-10-15DAL 3–2 SJS0G 1A 3S1G 0A 4S
2024-04-11DAL 0–3 WPG0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-01-20DAL 6–2 NJD0G 2A 0S1G 0A 5S
2023-03-18DAL 6–5 CGY2G 1A 5S0G 1A 4S
2023-03-06DAL 4–5 CGY1G 0A 5S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-14DAL 5–6 CGY0G 2A 4S0G 1A 3S
2022-05-15 · PODAL 2–3 CGY0G 1A 2S1G 0A 5S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

RobertsonToffoli

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Jason Robertson

2games (1 left)

2.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B2.6 pts

Tyler Toffoli

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.4 pts

FAQ

Should I start Jason Robertson or Tyler Toffoli in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Jason Robertson projects to 2.44 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Tyler Toffoli's 1.35. Robertson had 96 points in 82 games; Toffoli had 49 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Jason Robertson or Tyler Toffoli?
On 2025-26 numbers, Jason Robertson leads in 29 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Robertson and Toffoli done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Robertson's team went 10–9. Robertson had 21 points (9 goals) and Toffoli had 12 (6 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →