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Who to start · 2025-26

Josh Doan vs Noah Cates

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Doan projects to 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33.

Doan had 52 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games.

This week Doan has 1 game left; Cates has 1 left. We project Doan for 1.5 ESPN points to Cates's 1.5.

Josh Doan has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Doan's biggest edges: Ascension score 60, 20+ mph bursts 155, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.51.

Cates's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 467, Plus/minus +26, Blocked shots 51.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Josh Doan

1.47

fantasy points per game

Noah Cates

1.33

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Josh Doan has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromDoanCates
Goals (+2)0.570.39
Assists (+1)0.310.31
Power-play points (+0.5)0.100.05
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.210.16
Hits (+0.1)0.100.11
Blocks (+0.5)0.180.30

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Doan vs Cates

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

DoanCates
3Team record in 4 meetings1
3Points in those games4

Doan 0G 3A, 14 SOG · Cates 2G 2A, 8 SOG

0Faceoffs against each other1

Doan's offensive zone 0–0 · neutral 0–1 · Doan's defensive zone 0–0 (2025-26)

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Doan's side)

8:01 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Doan's side

Shot attempts
7–3
70.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.2
68.5%
Goals
0–1

Games against each other

Games between Josh Doan and Noah Cates
DateScoreDoanCates
2026-01-14BUF 5–2 PHI0G 2A 2S0G 1A 1S
2025-12-18BUF 5–3 PHI0G 0A 3S1G 0A 2S
2025-12-03BUF 2–5 PHI0G 1A 6S1G 1A 5S
2025-02-04UTA 3–2 PHI0G 0A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

DoanCates

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Josh Doan

2games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ CBJ
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CHI1.5 pts

Noah Cates

3games (1 left)

1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Schedule edge −9.3 win%
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.5 pts
    Schedule edge +9.3 win%

FAQ

Should I start Josh Doan or Noah Cates in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Josh Doan projects to 1.47 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Noah Cates's 1.33. Doan had 52 points in 82 games; Cates had 47 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Josh Doan or Noah Cates?
On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Doan leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Doan and Cates done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Doan's team went 3–1. Doan had 3 points (0 goals) and Cates had 4 (2 goals).
Who wins more faceoffs, Doan or Cates?
Against each other, Doan has won 0 and Cates 1 of their 1 head-to-head draws.

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →