Who to start · 2025-26
Josh Manson vs Mario Ferraro
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48.
Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games.
This week Manson has 1 game left; Ferraro has 1 left. We project Ferraro for 1.6 ESPN points to Manson's 1.5.
Josh Manson has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Manson's biggest edges: Corsi 57.3%, Fenwick 57.4%, Expected goals 56.9%.
Ferraro's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.7, Net penalties drawn /60 −0.21, Luck Meter +50.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Josh Manson
1.48
fantasy points per game
Mario Ferraro
1.71
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Mario Ferraro has the edge.
| Points per game from | Manson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.12 | 0.29 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.37 | 0.18 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.21 | 0.16 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.62 | 0.95 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Manson vs Ferraro
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2019-20 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Manson 3G 5A, 20 SOG · Ferraro 0G 0A, 11 SOG
Manson blocked 1 of Ferraro's shots; Ferraro blocked 0 of Manson's.
On the ice against each other (Manson's side)
15:47 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Manson's side
- Shot attempts
- 25–9
- 73.5%
- Expected goals
- 0.6–0.2
- 71.7%
- Goals
- 0–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Manson | Ferraro |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4–2 SJS | 1G 0A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6–0 SJS | 1G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-11-01 | COL 2–3 SJS | 0G 0A 3S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7–3 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-10-20 | COL 4–1 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-31 | COL 3–1 SJS | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2023-12-17 | COL 6–2 SJS | 0G 0A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2023-10-14 | COL 2–1 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-14 | ANA 4–1 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2021-04-12 | ANA 4–0 SJS | 0G 1A 0S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2021-04-06 | ANA 5–1 SJS | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2020-01-27 | ANA 2–4 SJS | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 2S |
Latest 12 of 13 meetings.
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Josh Manson
2games (1 left)
1.5proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
- Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.5 ptsSchedule edge +9.3 win%
Mario Ferraro
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts (season rate)
- Fri, Oct 2 vs BOS
- Sun, Oct 4 @ DET1.6 pts
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Josh Manson or Mario Ferraro in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mario Ferraro projects to 1.71 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48. Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Ferraro had 23 in 82 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Josh Manson or Mario Ferraro?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Josh Manson leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Manson and Ferraro done against each other?
- In 13 games against each other in our data, Manson's team went 11–2. Manson had 8 points (3 goals) and Ferraro had 0 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →