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Who to start · 2025-26

Josh Manson vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48.

Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Manson has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Manson for 1.1 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the better number in 18 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Manson's biggest edges: Hits 174, Plus/minus +42, Penalty minutes 91.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.6, Power-play time per game 3:30, Power-play share 86.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Josh Manson

1.46

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMansonNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)0.130.56
Assists (+1)0.330.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.000.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.160.18
Hits (+0.1)0.220.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.630.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Manson vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2017-18 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MansonNugent-Hopkins
11Team record in 19 meetings8
4Points in those games14

Manson 2G 2A, 34 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 5G 9A, 37 SOG

3Hits on each other0
4Shots blocked by the other1

Manson blocked 4 of Nugent-Hopkins's shots; Nugent-Hopkins blocked 1 of Manson's.

1Penalties drawn off the other0

On the ice against each other (Manson's side)

5:41 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Manson's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.5–0.1
76.6%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Josh Manson and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreMansonNugent-Hopkins
2026-03-10COL 3–4 EDM0G 0A 0S2G 0A 2S
2025-11-08COL 9–1 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 0S
2025-01-16COL 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 1S
2024-04-05COL 2–6 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-03-16COL 3–2 EDM0G 0A 0S0G 0A 3S
2023-02-19COL 6–5 EDM0G 1A 2S0G 1A 2S
2022-06-06 · POCOL 6–5 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 0A 3S
2022-06-04 · POCOL 4–2 EDM0G 0A 1S0G 0A 1S
2022-06-02 · POCOL 4–0 EDM1G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2022-05-31 · POCOL 8–6 EDM0G 0A 1S1G 1A 3S
2022-04-22COL 3–6 EDM0G 0A 3S0G 1A 3S
2022-04-09COL 2–1 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 4S

Latest 12 of 19 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MansonNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Josh Manson

2games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs LAK
    Opp allows 3rd-most FP to DLikely vs Darcy Kuemper (.891)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs STL1.1 pts
    Opp allows 4th-fewest FP to DSchedule edge +10.1 win%vs Jordan Binnington (.873)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Josh Manson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins projects to 1.70 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Josh Manson's 1.48. Manson had 31 points in 79 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Josh Manson or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins leads in 18 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Manson and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 19 games against each other in our data, Manson's team went 11–8. Manson had 4 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 14 (5 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →