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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left with 1 tough matchup; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 21 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: Plus/minus +10, On-ice PDO 1013, Shots on goal 269.

Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.1, Faceoffs won 172, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.51

fantasy points per game

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

1.70

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovNugent-Hopkins
Goals (+2)1.150.56
Assists (+1)0.560.50
Power-play points (+0.5)0.210.20
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.18
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.170.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Nugent-Hopkins

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2021-22 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovNugent-Hopkins
11Team record in 14 meetings3
15Points in those games11

Kaprizov 2G 13A, 46 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 3G 8A, 33 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

17:39 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
23–15
60.5%
Expected goals
1.4–0.7
66.5%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
DateScoreKaprizovNugent-Hopkins
2026-01-31MIN 7–3 EDM1G 0A 3S1G 0A 4S
2025-12-20MIN 5–2 EDM0G 0A 6S0G 0A 3S
2025-12-02MIN 1–0 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 0A 3S
2024-12-12MIN 1–7 EDM0G 0A 6S1G 0A 3S
2024-11-21MIN 5–3 EDM0G 1A 1S0G 0A 0S
2024-02-23MIN 4–2 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 1A 1S
2023-12-08MIN 3–4 EDM0G 0A 2S0G 4A 4S
2023-10-24MIN 7–4 EDM0G 3A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-12MIN 2–1 EDM0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2022-12-09MIN 2–5 EDM0G 1A 6S1G 2A 2S
2022-12-01MIN 5–3 EDM1G 2A 3S0G 0A 3S
2022-04-12MIN 5–1 EDM0G 2A 4S0G 0A 2S

Latest 12 of 14 meetings.

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovNugent-Hopkins

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 2nd-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +9.3 win%Likely vs Jeremy Swayman (.908)

Ryan Nugent-Hopkins

3games (1 left)

1.1proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ VAN
    Opp allows 4th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 pts
    Opp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 21 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
In 14 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 11–3. Kaprizov had 15 points (2 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 11 (3 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →