Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Kaprizov vs Will Smith

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94.

Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games.

This week Kaprizov has 1 game left; Smith has 1 left with 1 soft matchup. We project Kaprizov for 1.9 ESPN points to Smith's 1.9.

Kirill Kaprizov has the better number in 23 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Kaprizov's biggest edges: High-danger chances 52.4%, Expected goals 54.4%, Hits 52.

Smith's biggest edges: Luck Meter +40, Faceoffs won 15, Turnover Ledger /60 −0.039.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 1 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 3 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 3 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Kaprizov

2.50

fantasy points per game

Will Smith

1.94

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Kaprizov has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromKaprizovSmith
Goals (+2)1.210.90
Assists (+1)0.530.54
Power-play points (+0.5)0.190.15
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.000.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.340.24
Hits (+0.1)0.070.03
Blocks (+0.5)0.160.08

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Kaprizov vs Smith

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2024-25 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

KaprizovSmith
2Team record in 4 meetings2
9Points in those games5

Kaprizov 2G 7A, 18 SOG · Smith 2G 3A, 6 SOG

On the ice against each other (Kaprizov's side)

7:57 at 5-on-5 over 2 games, 2025-26, from Kaprizov's side

Shot attempts
9–3
75.0%
Expected goals
0.6–0.2
71.7%
Goals
1–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Kaprizov and Will Smith
DateScoreKaprizovSmith
2025-11-11MIN 1–2 SJS0G 0A 3S1G 0A 1S
2025-10-26MIN 5–6 SJS0G 3A 3S0G 0A 2S
2025-04-09MIN 8–7 SJS2G 1A 9S1G 3A 3S
2024-11-07MIN 5–2 SJS0G 3A 3S0G 0A 0S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

KaprizovSmith

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Kaprizov

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NSH
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to LWLikely vs Juuse Saros (.893)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs BOS1.9 pts
    Opp allows 12th-fewest FP to LWSchedule edge +12.8 win%Likely vs Michael DiPietro (1.000)

Will Smith

2games (1 left)

1.9proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs FLA
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Akira Schmid (.892)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs LAK1.9 pts
    Opp allows the most FP to CSchedule edge +3.3 win%Likely vs Anton Forsberg (.910)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Kaprizov or Will Smith in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Kaprizov projects to 2.50 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Will Smith's 1.94. Kaprizov had 89 points in 78 games; Smith had 59 in 69 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Kaprizov or Will Smith?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Kaprizov leads in 23 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Kaprizov and Smith done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Kaprizov's team went 2–2. Kaprizov had 9 points (2 goals) and Smith had 5 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →