Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Matthew Knies

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Knies has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Knies's 1.4.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 28 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Plus/minus +7, Corsi 52.4%, Fenwick 52.3%.

Knies's biggest edges: Hits 152, Goals above expected +0.3, Net penalties drawn /60 +0.20.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 2 G, 1 A, 1 PPP, 4 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Matthew Knies

2.06

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Matthew Knies has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoKnies
Goals (+2)0.630.80
Assists (+1)0.520.57
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.12
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.01
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.19
Hits (+0.1)0.110.18
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.19

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Knies

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoKnies
4Team record in 6 meetings2
4Points in those games3

Marchenko 1G 3A, 16 SOG · Knies 1G 2A, 14 SOG

0Hits on each other3

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Matthew Knies
DateScoreMarchenkoKnies
2025-10-29CBJ 6–3 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2025-04-05CBJ 0–5 TOR0G 0A 2S0G 1A 6S
2025-01-22CBJ 5–1 TOR0G 1A 1S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-22CBJ 6–2 TOR1G 1A 7S1G 0A 5S
2023-12-29CBJ 6–5 TOR0G 0A 1S0G 0A 0S
2023-12-23CBJ 1–4 TOR0G 0A 4S0G 0A 1S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoKnies

Fantasy box score

Special teams & discipline

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 9th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 10th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    Likely vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Matthew Knies

2games (1 left)

1.4proj. ESPN pts

  • Thu, Oct 1 vs BUF
    Opp allows 8th-most FP to LWLikely vs Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs UTA1.4 pts
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to LWLikely vs Karel Vejmelka (.897)

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Matthew Knies in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Matthew Knies projects to 2.06 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Knies had 66 in 79 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Matthew Knies?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 28 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Knies done against each other?
In 6 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 4–2. Marchenko had 4 points (1 goals) and Knies had 3 (1 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →