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Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Mikko Rantanen

Kirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wingvsMikko RantanenMikko RantanenStars · Right wing

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Rantanen has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Rantanen's 1.6.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 19 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Corsi 52.4%, Fenwick 52.3%, 20+ mph bursts 301.

Rantanen's biggest edges: Penalty minutes 93, Faceoffs won 37, Power-play time per game 3:54.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Mikko Rantanen

2.21

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Mikko Rantanen has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoRantanen
Goals (+2)0.630.64
Assists (+1)0.520.81
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.25
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.21
Hits (+0.1)0.110.08
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.22

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Rantanen

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2023-24 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoRantanen
3Team record in 4 meetings1
6Points in those games4

Marchenko 2G 4A, 9 SOG · Rantanen 2G 2A, 13 SOG

0Hits on each other1

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

3:26 at 5-on-5 over 1 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
2–1
66.7%
Expected goals
0.0–0.2
13.6%
Goals
0–0

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Mikko Rantanen
DateScoreMarchenkoRantanen
2025-10-21CBJ 5–1 DAL0G 1A 3S0G 0A 1S
2024-10-12CBJ 6–4 COL1G 2A 2S0G 1A 3S
2024-04-01CBJ 4–1 COL1G 1A 3S0G 0A 6S
2024-03-22CBJ 1–6 COL0G 0A 1S2G 1A 3S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoRantanen

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Mikko Rantanen

2games (1 left)

1.6proj. ESPN pts

  • Fri, Oct 2 vs STL
    Opp allows 3rd-fewest FP to RWLikely vs Joel Hofer (.910)
  • Sat, Oct 3 @ NSHB2B1.6 pts
    Opp allows 10th-fewest FP to RWSchedule edge −12.9 win%Likely vs Juuse Saros (.893)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Mikko Rantanen in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Mikko Rantanen projects to 2.21 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Rantanen had 77 in 64 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Mikko Rantanen?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 19 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Rantanen done against each other?
In 4 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 3–1. Marchenko had 6 points (2 goals) and Rantanen had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →