Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Marchenko vs Noah Dobson
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92.
Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games.
This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Dobson has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Dobson's 1.6.
Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 24 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.
Marchenko's biggest edges: Scoring chances 53.0%, Corsi 52.4%, High-danger chances 49.5%.
Dobson's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 0, Forecheck xG /60 0.38, Goals above expected +1.4.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
- • 2026-27 so far: 1 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 1 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Marchenko
1.92
fantasy points per game
Noah Dobson
2.17
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Noah Dobson has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchenko | Dobson |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.63 | 0.28 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.52 | 0.41 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.13 | 0.04 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.11 | 0.07 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.23 | 1.16 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Dobson
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2026-27: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchenko 3G 7A, 28 SOG · Dobson 1G 4A, 22 SOG
Marchenko blocked 1 of Dobson's shots; Dobson blocked 4 of Marchenko's.
On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)
22:47 at 5-on-5 over 4 games, 2025-26 to 2026-27, from Marchenko's side
- Shot attempts
- 31–19
- 62.0%
- Expected goals
- 1.8–0.7
- 73.7%
- Goals
- 2–0
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchenko | Dobson |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-29 | TOR 2–3 MTL | 0G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2026-04-11 | CBJ 5–2 MTL | 1G 1A 4S | 0G 0A 0S |
| 2026-03-26 | CBJ 1–2 MTL | 0G 0A 2S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2025-11-17 | CBJ 4–3 MTL | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 1A 3S |
| 2025-04-17 | CBJ 6–1 NYI | 0G 1A 1S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-03-24 | CBJ 4–3 NYI | 1G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 3S |
| 2025-01-20 | CBJ 1–3 NYI | 0G 1A 2S | 0G 1A 2S |
| 2024-10-30 | CBJ 2–0 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-04-04 | CBJ 2–4 NYI | 1G 1A 6S | 1G 0A 2S |
| 2023-12-07 | CBJ 3–7 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 4S |
| 2023-03-24 | CBJ 5–4 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 1A 0S |
| 2022-12-29 | CBJ 1–2 NYI | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 2S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Noah Dobson
2games (1 left)
1.6proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 @ TOROpp allows 14th-fewest FP to DLikely vs Sergei Bobrovsky (.877)
- Sat, Oct 3 @ PIT1.6 ptsOpp allows the fewest FP to Dvs Arturs Silovs (.888)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Noah Dobson in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Noah Dobson projects to 2.17 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Kirill Marchenko's 1.92. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Dobson had 47 in 80 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Noah Dobson?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 24 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchenko and Dobson done against each other?
- In 12 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 6–6. Marchenko had 10 points (3 goals) and Dobson had 5 (1 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →