Who to start · 2025-26
Kirill Marchenko vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70.
Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games.
This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Nugent-Hopkins has 1 left with 1 tough matchup. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Nugent-Hopkins's 1.1.
Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 22 of the 33 stats both are ranked on.
Marchenko's biggest edges: 20+ mph bursts 301, On-ice PDO 1024, Plus/minus +7.
Nugent-Hopkins's biggest edges: Faceoffs won 172, Goals above expected +2.6, Forecheck xG /60 0.34.
- • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
Fantasy value: your scoring
Kirill Marchenko
2.02
fantasy points per game
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
1.70
fantasy points per game
Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.
| Points per game from | Marchenko | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (+2) | 0.71 | 0.56 |
| Assists (+1) | 0.53 | 0.50 |
| Power-play points (+0.5) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| Shorthanded points (+0.5) | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Shots on goal (+0.1) | 0.29 | 0.18 |
| Hits (+0.1) | 0.08 | 0.03 |
| Blocks (+0.5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.
Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Nugent-Hopkins
Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2024-25: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.
Marchenko 3G 2A, 13 SOG · Nugent-Hopkins 0G 4A, 12 SOG
Games against each other
| Date | Score | Marchenko | Nugent-Hopkins |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-05 | CBJ 3–6 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 2A 4S |
| 2024-10-28 | CBJ 6–1 EDM | 0G 2A 0S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-03-07 | CBJ 4–2 EDM | 0G 0A 1S | 0G 0A 1S |
| 2024-01-23 | CBJ 1–4 EDM | 0G 0A 4S | 0G 1A 1S |
| 2023-02-25 | CBJ 6–5 EDM | 2G 0A 5S | 0G 0A 2S |
| 2023-01-25 | CBJ 3–2 EDM | 1G 0A 2S | 0G 1A 3S |
Every stat, side by side
Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.
Fantasy box score
Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)
Transition, turnovers & faceoffs
Usage
Special teams & discipline
This week's schedule
Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.
Kirill Marchenko
3games (1 left)
1.8proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs MTLOpp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
- Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2BOpp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 ptsvs Linus Ullmark (.891)
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
3games (1 left)
1.1proj. ESPN pts
- Tue, Sep 29 vs VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Thu, Oct 1 @ VANOpp allows 6th-most FP to CLikely vs Kevin Lankinen (.875)
- Sat, Oct 3 vs SEA1.1 ptsOpp allows 6th-fewest FP to CLikely vs Joey Daccord (.897)
Similar matchups
FAQ
- Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins in fantasy hockey?
- Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Ryan Nugent-Hopkins's 1.70. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Nugent-Hopkins had 56 in 72 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
- Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Ryan Nugent-Hopkins?
- On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 22 of 33 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
- How have Marchenko and Nugent-Hopkins done against each other?
- In 6 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 4–2. Marchenko had 5 points (3 goals) and Nugent-Hopkins had 4 (0 goals).
2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →