Edgehalla

Who to start · 2025-26

Kirill Marchenko vs Trevor Zegras

Kirill MarchenkoKirill MarchenkoMaple Leafs · Right wingvsTrevor ZegrasTrevor ZegrasFlyers · Centre

Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53.

Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games.

This week Marchenko has 1 game left; Zegras has 1 left. We project Marchenko for 1.8 ESPN points to Zegras's 1.2.

Kirill Marchenko has the better number in 20 of the 34 stats both are ranked on.

Marchenko's biggest edges: Ascension score 58, Top skating speed 23.4, 20+ mph bursts 301.

Zegras's biggest edges: Goals above expected +2.5, Faceoffs won 131, High-danger chances 56.6%.

  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 1 A, 0 PPP, 7 SOG.
  • • 2026-27 so far: 2 GP, 0 G, 0 A, 0 PPP, 2 SOG.

Fantasy value: your scoring

Kirill Marchenko

1.92

fantasy points per game

Trevor Zegras

1.53

fantasy points per game

Under ESPN default points, Kirill Marchenko has the edge.

Per-stat breakdown under ESPN default points
Points per game fromMarchenkoZegras
Goals (+2)0.630.57
Assists (+1)0.520.45
Power-play points (+0.5)0.130.13
Shorthanded points (+0.5)0.010.00
Shots on goal (+0.1)0.290.19
Hits (+0.1)0.110.05
Blocks (+0.5)0.230.15

Per-game rates from the selected sample; blended mixes last season with this season, weighting this season more as games are played. Categories are scored as z-scores against qualified players at the same position. Your custom weights are saved in this browser only.

Head-to-head: Marchenko vs Zegras

Every event between them in NHL play-by-play, 2022-23 to 2025-26: games against each other, faceoffs, shots on goal, hits and penalties. Regular season and playoffs.

MarchenkoZegras
3Team record in 7 meetings4
5Points in those games4

Marchenko 3G 2A, 23 SOG · Zegras 2G 2A, 20 SOG

0Hits on each other1
1Shots blocked by the other0

Marchenko blocked 1 of Zegras's shots; Zegras blocked 0 of Marchenko's.

On the ice against each other (Marchenko's side)

10:42 at 5-on-5 over 3 games, 2025-26, from Marchenko's side

Shot attempts
15–15
50.0%
Expected goals
0.4–1.0
31.0%
Goals
1–1

Games against each other

Games between Kirill Marchenko and Trevor Zegras
DateScoreMarchenkoZegras
2026-03-24CBJ 3–2 PHI0G 1A 1S0G 1A 1S
2026-03-14CBJ 2–1 PHI1G 0A 5S0G 0A 4S
2026-01-28CBJ 5–3 PHI1G 0A 3S0G 0A 6S
2024-11-10CBJ 2–4 ANA1G 1A 5S0G 0A 1S
2023-10-24CBJ 2–3 ANA0G 0A 4S0G 0A 0S
2023-03-17CBJ 4–7 ANA0G 0A 2S1G 0A 4S
2023-01-19CBJ 3–5 ANA0G 0A 3S1G 1A 4S

Every stat, side by side

Season values; bars are percentiles at each player's position (longer is better). Click a stat for its explainer.

MarchenkoZegras

Fantasy box score

Possession & shot quality (5-on-5 on-ice)

Transition, turnovers & faceoffs

Usage

Special teams & discipline

Luck & trend

NHL EDGE tracking

This week's schedule

Sep 28 to Oct 4. More games usually wins a weekly start/sit. Chips show how many fantasy points the opponent allows to the player's position (soft or tough), the Schedule Edge from rest and travel, and the likely opposing goalie with his save percentage. Projections use ESPN default points for the games left.

Kirill Marchenko

3games (1 left)

1.8proj. ESPN pts

  • Tue, Sep 29 vs MTL
    Opp allows 12th-most FP to RWLikely vs Jakub Dobes (.901)
  • Wed, Sep 30 vs NYIB2B
    Opp allows 14th-most FP to RWSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Ilya Sorokin (.906)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs OTT1.8 pts
    vs Linus Ullmark (.891)

Trevor Zegras

3games (1 left)

1.2proj. ESPN pts

  • Wed, Sep 30 vs PIT
    Opp allows the fewest FP to CLikely vs Arturs Silovs (.888)
  • Thu, Oct 1 @ NJDB2B
    Opp allows 8th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge −9.3 win%Likely vs Jake Allen (.904)
  • Sat, Oct 3 vs CAR1.2 pts
    Opp allows 13th-fewest FP to CSchedule edge +9.0 win%Likely vs Pyotr Kochetkov (.899)

Similar matchups

FAQ

Should I start Kirill Marchenko or Trevor Zegras in fantasy hockey?
Blending 2025-26 with 2026-27 so far, Kirill Marchenko projects to 1.92 fantasy points per game under ESPN default scoring to Trevor Zegras's 1.53. Marchenko had 67 points in 76 games; Zegras had 67 in 81 games. Check this week's games and your league's scoring in the fantasy panel above, since more games usually decide a weekly start.
Who is better, Kirill Marchenko or Trevor Zegras?
On 2025-26 numbers, Kirill Marchenko leads in 20 of 34 stats where both qualify, from scoring and power-play production to on-ice shot share and NHL EDGE tracking.
How have Marchenko and Zegras done against each other?
In 7 games against each other in our data, Marchenko's team went 3–4. Marchenko had 5 points (3 goals) and Zegras had 4 (2 goals).

2025-26 regular season from NHL play-by-play, shift charts and NHL EDGE, processed by Edgehalla. Head-to-head covers every loaded season (play-by-play from 2019-20; on-ice matchups from 2025-26).Compare other players →